Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Cavaliers v Washington Wizards

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 22:11 UTC

Final: Cleveland Cavaliers 130–117 Washington Wizards

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Cavaliers (Local)

Prediction 79.75%1.25fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -12.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.30%79.78%79.83%82.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.191.201.2286.96%83.81%83.33%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Wizards (Visit)

Prediction 20.25%4.94fair odd
EV +11.35%
Edge +2.06%
Kelly +2.52%
Growth +0.286%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.42%20.22%20.17%21.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.254.714.755.5023.53%21.21%21.05%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Cavaliers (Local): 79.75%; Washington Wizards (Visit): 20.25%. For Washington Wizards (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.94. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.35%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
PlayUp🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -7.48%E -6.45%K -46.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +11.35%E +2.06%K +2.52%G +0.286%4.4%2026-04-12 22:10
Betsson🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -8.28%E -7.20%K -55.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +6.29%E +1.20%K +1.48%G +0.093%6.0%2026-04-12 22:05
NordicBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -8.28%E -7.20%K -55.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +6.29%E +1.20%K +1.48%G +0.093%6.0%2026-04-12 22:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.68%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 19.32%EV +1.43%E +0.285%K +0.356%G +0.005%3.3%2026-04-12 22:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.69%E -5.72%K -39.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.23%E +0.245%K +0.306%G +0.004%5.5%2026-04-12 22:09
BetUS🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.49%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.51%EV +0.213%E +0.043%K +0.054%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 22:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.62%EV -5.09%E -4.28%K -26.80%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV +0.213%E +0.043%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 21:58
BetOnline.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.56%EV -5.09%E -4.28%K -26.80%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.44%EV -0.192%E -0.039%K -0.049%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 22:10
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07%EV -2.70%E -2.21%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%EV -0.799%E -0.163%K -0.205%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 22:08
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -1.81%E -0.374%K -0.471%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 22:10
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -1.81%E -0.374%K -0.471%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 22:09
GTbets🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -5.09%E -4.28%K -26.80%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -1.81%E -0.374%K -0.471%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 22:09
Pinnacle🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.00%EV -3.50%E -2.89%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 20.00%EV -2.01%E -0.416%K -0.524%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 22:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -3.50%E -2.89%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 22:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -3.50%E -2.89%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 22:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -3.50%E -2.89%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 22:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -3.50%E -2.89%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 22:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -3.50%E -2.89%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 22:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 21:59
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 22:09
DraftKings🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 22:09
Coolbet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 22:08
Betr (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 22:09
ReBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 21:59
Fliff🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.09%E -4.28%K -26.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 22:09
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.89%E -4.99%K -32.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 22:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:10
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:10
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:09
BetAnything🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:10
Everygame🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:09
Neds🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.09%E -4.28%K -26.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.89%E -4.99%K -32.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 22:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.86%EV -5.09%E -4.28%K -26.80%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.14%EV -4.44%E -0.941%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 21:59
Bovada🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 22:06
Codere (IT)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.09%E -4.28%K -26.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 22:01
Caesars🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.50%E -2.89%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:09
Bet Right🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:10
BetRivers🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:09
TABtouch🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:09
Unibet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:10
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:10
Bally Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.09%E -4.28%K -26.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 22:10
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.89%E -4.99%K -32.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 22:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.89%E -4.99%K -32.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 22:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.89%E -4.99%K -32.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 22:10
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 22:10
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 21:59
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 22:09
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 22:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 21:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 21:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.09%E -4.28%K -26.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 22:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.69%E -5.72%K -39.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 22:10
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.69%E -5.72%K -39.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 22:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.69%E -5.72%K -39.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 22:00
LeoVegas🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.09%EV -8.28%E -7.20%K -55.21%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.91%EV -11.93%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 22:09
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 22:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -6.69%E -5.72%K -39.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -13.96%E -3.28%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 22:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-04-12 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-04-12 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-04-12 22:10
Polymarket1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-04-12 22:10
Kalshi1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-04-12 22:10
BetOpenly1.23I 81.30%NM 80.32%5.02I 19.92%NM 19.68%1.2%2026-04-12 21:59
Novig1.21I 82.64%NM 81.30%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.70%1.7%2026-04-12 22:10
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88%1.9%2026-04-12 22:10
ProphetX1.21I 82.64%NM 80.67%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.33%2.4%2026-04-12 22:10
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%3.1%2026-04-12 22:10