L’École des cotes

Cleveland Cavaliers v Washington Wizards

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 22:11 UTC

Score final : Cleveland Cavaliers 130–117 Washington Wizards

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cleveland Cavaliers (Local)

Prévision 79.75%1.25cote équitable
EV -2.70%
Avantage -2.21%
Kelly -12.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.30%79.78%79.83%82.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.151.191.201.2286.96%83.81%83.33%81.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Washington Wizards (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.25%4.94cote équitable
EV +11.35%
Avantage +2.06%
Kelly +2.52%
Croissance +0.286%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.42%20.22%20.17%21.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.254.714.755.5023.53%21.21%21.05%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
PlayUp1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -7.48%E -6.45%K -46.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +11.35%E +2.06%K +2.52%G +0.286%4.4%2026-04-12 22:10
Betsson1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -8.28%E -7.20%K -55.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +6.29%E +1.20%K +1.48%G +0.093%6.0%2026-04-12 22:05
NordicBet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -8.28%E -7.20%K -55.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +6.29%E +1.20%K +1.48%G +0.093%6.0%2026-04-12 22:05
LowVig.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 80.68%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 19.32%EV +1.43%E +0.285%K +0.356%G +0.005%3.3%2026-04-12 22:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.69%E -5.72%K -39.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.23%E +0.245%K +0.306%G +0.004%5.5%2026-04-12 22:09
BetUS1.20I 83.33%NM 80.49%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.51%EV +0.213%E +0.043%K +0.054%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 22:09
Marathon Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.62%EV -5.09%E -4.28%K -26.80%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV +0.213%E +0.043%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 21:58
BetOnline.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.56%EV -5.09%E -4.28%K -26.80%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.44%EV -0.192%E -0.039%K -0.049%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 22:10
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07%EV -2.70%E -2.21%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%EV -0.799%E -0.163%K -0.205%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 22:08
FanDuel1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -1.81%E -0.374%K -0.471%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 22:10
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -1.81%E -0.374%K -0.471%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 22:09
GTbets1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -5.09%E -4.28%K -26.80%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -1.81%E -0.374%K -0.471%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 22:09
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 80.00%EV -3.50%E -2.89%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 20.00%EV -2.01%E -0.416%K -0.524%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 22:09
Unibet (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -3.50%E -2.89%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 22:10
Unibet (NL)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -3.50%E -2.89%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 22:10
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -3.50%E -2.89%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 22:10
Svenska Spel1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -3.50%E -2.89%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 22:09
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -3.50%E -2.89%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 22:10
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 21:59
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 22:09
DraftKings1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 22:09
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 22:08
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 22:09
ReBet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 21:59
Fliff1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.09%E -4.28%K -26.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 22:09
theScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.89%E -4.99%K -32.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 22:10
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:10
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:10
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:10
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:09
BetAnything1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:10
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:09
Hard Rock Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:09
Neds1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.09%E -4.28%K -26.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:10
Dabble (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.89%E -4.99%K -32.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 22:04
MyBookie.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 79.86%EV -5.09%E -4.28%K -26.80%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.14%EV -4.44%E -0.941%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 21:59
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 22:06
Codere (IT)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.09%E -4.28%K -26.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 22:01
Caesars1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.50%E -2.89%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:09
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:09
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:09
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:10
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:09
TABtouch1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:09
Unibet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:10
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:10
Bally Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.09%E -4.28%K -26.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 22:10
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.89%E -4.99%K -32.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 22:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.89%E -4.99%K -32.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 22:10
Tipico (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.89%E -4.99%K -32.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 22:10
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 22:10
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 21:59
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 22:09
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 22:09
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 21:59
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 21:59
Winamax (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.09%E -4.28%K -26.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 22:09
PMU (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.69%E -5.72%K -39.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 22:10
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.69%E -5.72%K -39.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 22:00
NetBet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.69%E -5.72%K -39.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 22:00
LeoVegas1.15I 86.96%NM 79.09%EV -8.28%E -7.20%K -55.21%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.91%EV -11.93%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 22:09
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 22:10
Betclic (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -6.69%E -5.72%K -39.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -13.96%E -3.28%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 22:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-04-12 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-04-12 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-04-12 22:10
Polymarket1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-04-12 22:10
Kalshi1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-04-12 22:10
BetOpenly1.23I 81.30%NM 80.32%5.02I 19.92%NM 19.68%1.2%2026-04-12 21:59
Novig1.21I 82.64%NM 81.30%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.70%1.7%2026-04-12 22:10
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88%1.9%2026-04-12 22:10
ProphetX1.21I 82.64%NM 80.67%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.33%2.4%2026-04-12 22:10
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%3.1%2026-04-12 22:10