La escuela de los momios

Cleveland Cavaliers v Washington Wizards

Inicio: 2026-04-12 22:11 UTC

Final: Cleveland Cavaliers 130–117 Washington Wizards

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cleveland Cavaliers (Local)

Predicción 79.75%1.25momio equitativo
EV -2.70%
Ventaja -2.21%
Kelly -12.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.30%79.78%79.83%82.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.191.201.2286.96%83.81%83.33%81.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Washington Wizards (Visitante)

Predicción 20.25%4.94momio equitativo
EV +11.35%
Ventaja +2.06%
Kelly +2.52%
Crecimiento +0.286%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.42%20.22%20.17%21.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.254.714.755.5023.53%21.21%21.05%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
PlayUp1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -7.48%E -6.45%K -46.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +11.35%E +2.06%K +2.52%G +0.286%4.4%2026-04-12 22:10
Betsson1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -8.28%E -7.20%K -55.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +6.29%E +1.20%K +1.48%G +0.093%6.0%2026-04-12 22:05
NordicBet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -8.28%E -7.20%K -55.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +6.29%E +1.20%K +1.48%G +0.093%6.0%2026-04-12 22:05
LowVig.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 80.68%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 19.32%EV +1.43%E +0.285%K +0.356%G +0.005%3.3%2026-04-12 22:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.69%E -5.72%K -39.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.23%E +0.245%K +0.306%G +0.004%5.5%2026-04-12 22:09
BetUS1.20I 83.33%NM 80.49%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.51%EV +0.213%E +0.043%K +0.054%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 22:09
Marathon Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.62%EV -5.09%E -4.28%K -26.80%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV +0.213%E +0.043%K +0.054%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 21:58
BetOnline.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.56%EV -5.09%E -4.28%K -26.80%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.44%EV -0.192%E -0.039%K -0.049%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 22:10
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 80.07%EV -2.70%E -2.21%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%EV -0.799%E -0.163%K -0.205%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 22:08
FanDuel1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -1.81%E -0.374%K -0.471%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 22:10
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -1.81%E -0.374%K -0.471%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 22:09
GTbets1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -5.09%E -4.28%K -26.80%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -1.81%E -0.374%K -0.471%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 22:09
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 80.00%EV -3.50%E -2.89%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 20.00%EV -2.01%E -0.416%K -0.524%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 22:09
Unibet (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -3.50%E -2.89%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 22:10
Unibet (NL)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -3.50%E -2.89%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 22:10
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -3.50%E -2.89%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 22:10
Svenska Spel1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -3.50%E -2.89%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 22:09
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -3.50%E -2.89%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 22:10
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 21:59
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 22:09
DraftKings1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 22:09
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 22:08
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 22:09
ReBet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 21:59
Fliff1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.09%E -4.28%K -26.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 22:09
theScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.89%E -4.99%K -32.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -2.82%E -0.588%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 22:10
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:10
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:10
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:10
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:09
BetAnything1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:10
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:09
Hard Rock Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:09
Neds1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.09%E -4.28%K -26.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:10
Dabble (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.89%E -4.99%K -32.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.84%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 22:04
MyBookie.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 79.86%EV -5.09%E -4.28%K -26.80%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.14%EV -4.44%E -0.941%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 21:59
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 22:06
Codere (IT)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.09%E -4.28%K -26.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -4.85%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 22:01
Caesars1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.50%E -2.89%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 22:09
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:09
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:09
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:10
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:09
TABtouch1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:09
Unibet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:10
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:10
Bally Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.09%E -4.28%K -26.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 22:10
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.89%E -4.99%K -32.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 22:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.89%E -4.99%K -32.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 22:10
Tipico (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.89%E -4.99%K -32.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 22:10
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 22:10
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 21:59
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 22:09
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 22:09
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 21:59
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 21:59
Winamax (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.09%E -4.28%K -26.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 22:09
PMU (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.69%E -5.72%K -39.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 22:10
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.69%E -5.72%K -39.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 22:00
NetBet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.69%E -5.72%K -39.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.90%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 22:00
LeoVegas1.15I 86.96%NM 79.09%EV -8.28%E -7.20%K -55.21%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.91%EV -11.93%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 22:09
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.29%E -3.58%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -12.34%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 22:10
Betclic (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.41%EV -6.69%E -5.72%K -39.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.59%EV -13.96%E -3.28%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 22:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-04-12 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-04-12 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-04-12 22:10
Polymarket1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-04-12 22:10
Kalshi1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-04-12 22:10
BetOpenly1.23I 81.30%NM 80.32%5.02I 19.92%NM 19.68%1.2%2026-04-12 21:59
Novig1.21I 82.64%NM 81.30%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.70%1.7%2026-04-12 22:10
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88%1.9%2026-04-12 22:10
ProphetX1.21I 82.64%NM 80.67%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.33%2.4%2026-04-12 22:10
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%3.1%2026-04-12 22:10