Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Cavaliers v Toronto Raptors

Kickoff: 2026-04-20 23:12 UTC

Final: Cleveland Cavaliers 115–105 Toronto Raptors

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Cavaliers (Local)

Prediction 78.13%1.28fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -9.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.96%78.01%78.26%81.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.221.221.2586.21%82.23%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Raptors (Visit)

Prediction 21.87%4.57fair odd
EV +11.55%
Edge +2.27%
Kelly +2.82%
Growth +0.326%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.79%21.99%21.74%24.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.414.405.1025.32%22.67%22.73%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Cavaliers (Local): 78.13%; Toronto Raptors (Visit): 21.87%. For Toronto Raptors (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.57. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.55%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetAnything🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -7.81%E -6.62%K -43.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +11.55%E +2.27%K +2.82%G +0.326%4.4%2026-04-20 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -5.47%E -4.52%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +2.80%E +0.597%K +0.758%G +0.021%3.9%2026-04-20 23:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -5.47%E -4.52%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +2.80%E +0.597%K +0.758%G +0.021%3.9%2026-04-20 23:10
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -5.47%E -4.52%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +2.80%E +0.597%K +0.758%G +0.021%3.9%2026-04-20 23:10
SportsBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -5.47%E -4.52%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +2.80%E +0.597%K +0.758%G +0.021%3.9%2026-04-20 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -5.47%E -4.52%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +2.80%E +0.597%K +0.758%G +0.021%3.9%2026-04-20 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -5.47%E -4.52%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +2.80%E +0.597%K +0.758%G +0.021%3.9%2026-04-20 23:10
Fliff🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV +1.71%E +0.368%K +0.469%G +0.008%4.8%2026-04-20 23:10
TABtouch🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.47%E -4.52%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.617%E +0.134%K +0.171%G +0.001%4.4%2026-04-20 23:10
Unibet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.47%E -4.52%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.617%E +0.134%K +0.171%G +0.001%4.4%2026-04-20 23:10
betPARX🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.47%E -4.52%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.617%E +0.134%K +0.171%G +0.001%4.4%2026-04-20 23:10
Bally Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.47%E -4.52%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.617%E +0.134%K +0.171%G +0.001%4.4%2026-04-20 23:10
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.617%E +0.134%K +0.171%G +0.001%5.1%2026-04-20 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.617%E +0.134%K +0.171%G +0.001%5.1%2026-04-20 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-20 23:09
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-20 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-20 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-20 23:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-20 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.47%E -4.52%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-20 23:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 23:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 23:10
BetRivers🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 23:09
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 23:10
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 23:09
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.32%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.68%EV -2.01%E -0.448%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-20 23:07
Caesars🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -2.66%E -0.599%K -0.772%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-20 23:09
GTbets🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -2.66%E -0.599%K -0.772%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-20 23:10
Coolbet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.76%E -0.854%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.76%E -0.854%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 23:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.76%E -0.854%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 23:10
ReBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.76%E -0.854%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 22:59
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.76%E -0.854%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 23:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.76%E -0.854%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 23:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.76%E -0.854%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 23:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.81%E -6.62%K -43.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.76%E -0.854%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-20 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.86%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.14%EV -4.63%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-20 23:09
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.85%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 23:09
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.29%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 23:08
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.29%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 23:10
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.29%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.29%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-20 22:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-20 23:09
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-20 23:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-20 23:01
NetBet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.81%E -6.62%K -43.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 23:00
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.75%EV -9.37%E -8.08%K -58.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 23:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.82%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.18%EV -6.38%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 23:02
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.04%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-20 23:09
TAB🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-20 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 23:10
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 22:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 22:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 22:59
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-20 23:10
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 23:10
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.51%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 23:10
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -13.60%E -3.44%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 23:10
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -13.60%E -3.44%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 23:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.85%EV -7.03%E -5.91%K -37.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -13.60%E -3.44%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 23:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-04-20 23:10
ProphetX1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-04-20 23:10
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 78.75%4.67I 21.41%NM 21.25%0.8%2026-04-20 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-04-20 23:10
Kalshi1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.0%2026-04-20 23:10
Polymarket1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.0%2026-04-20 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-04-20 23:10
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.9%2026-04-20 23:10
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%2.4%2026-04-20 23:10
BetOpenly1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%3.9%2026-04-20 22:59