La escuela de los momios

Cleveland Cavaliers v Toronto Raptors

Inicio: 2026-04-20 23:12 UTC

Final: Cleveland Cavaliers 115–105 Toronto Raptors

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cleveland Cavaliers (Local)

Predicción 78.13%1.28momio equitativo
EV -2.34%
Ventaja -1.87%
Kelly -9.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.96%78.01%78.26%81.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.161.221.221.2586.21%82.23%81.97%80.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Toronto Raptors (Visitante)

Predicción 21.87%4.57momio equitativo
EV +11.55%
Ventaja +2.27%
Kelly +2.82%
Crecimiento +0.326%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.79%21.99%21.74%24.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.954.414.405.1025.32%22.67%22.73%19.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetAnything1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -7.81%E -6.62%K -43.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +11.55%E +2.27%K +2.82%G +0.326%4.4%2026-04-20 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -5.47%E -4.52%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +2.80%E +0.597%K +0.758%G +0.021%3.9%2026-04-20 23:09
Unibet (NL)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -5.47%E -4.52%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +2.80%E +0.597%K +0.758%G +0.021%3.9%2026-04-20 23:10
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -5.47%E -4.52%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +2.80%E +0.597%K +0.758%G +0.021%3.9%2026-04-20 23:10
SportsBet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -5.47%E -4.52%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +2.80%E +0.597%K +0.758%G +0.021%3.9%2026-04-20 23:10
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -5.47%E -4.52%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +2.80%E +0.597%K +0.758%G +0.021%3.9%2026-04-20 23:10
Svenska Spel1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -5.47%E -4.52%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +2.80%E +0.597%K +0.758%G +0.021%3.9%2026-04-20 23:10
Fliff1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV +1.71%E +0.368%K +0.469%G +0.008%4.8%2026-04-20 23:10
TABtouch1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.47%E -4.52%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.617%E +0.134%K +0.171%G +0.001%4.4%2026-04-20 23:10
Unibet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.47%E -4.52%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.617%E +0.134%K +0.171%G +0.001%4.4%2026-04-20 23:10
betPARX1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.47%E -4.52%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.617%E +0.134%K +0.171%G +0.001%4.4%2026-04-20 23:10
Bally Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.47%E -4.52%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.617%E +0.134%K +0.171%G +0.001%4.4%2026-04-20 23:10
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.617%E +0.134%K +0.171%G +0.001%5.1%2026-04-20 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.617%E +0.134%K +0.171%G +0.001%5.1%2026-04-20 23:10
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-20 23:09
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-20 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-20 23:10
DraftKings1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-20 23:09
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-20 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.47%E -4.52%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-20 23:09
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 23:09
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 23:10
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 23:09
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 23:10
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 23:09
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 78.32%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.68%EV -2.01%E -0.448%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-20 23:07
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -2.66%E -0.599%K -0.772%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-20 23:09
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -2.66%E -0.599%K -0.772%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-20 23:10
Coolbet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.76%E -0.854%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 23:10
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.76%E -0.854%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 23:10
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.76%E -0.854%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 23:10
ReBet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.76%E -0.854%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 22:59
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.76%E -0.854%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 23:09
Dabble (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.76%E -0.854%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 23:10
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.76%E -0.854%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 23:10
PMU (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.81%E -6.62%K -43.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.76%E -0.854%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-20 23:10
LowVig.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 77.86%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.14%EV -4.63%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-20 23:09
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.85%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 23:09
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.29%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 23:08
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.29%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 23:10
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.29%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.29%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-20 22:59
BetOnline.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-20 23:09
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-20 23:09
Codere (IT)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-20 23:01
NetBet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.81%E -6.62%K -43.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 23:00
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 78.75%EV -9.37%E -8.08%K -58.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 23:09
MyBookie.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 77.82%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.18%EV -6.38%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 23:02
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.04%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-20 23:09
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-20 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 23:10
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 22:59
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 22:59
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 22:59
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-20 23:10
Bet Right1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 23:10
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.51%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 23:10
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -13.60%E -3.44%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 23:10
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -13.60%E -3.44%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 23:09
Betclic (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 76.85%EV -7.03%E -5.91%K -37.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -13.60%E -3.44%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 23:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-04-20 23:10
ProphetX1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-04-20 23:10
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 78.75%4.67I 21.41%NM 21.25%0.8%2026-04-20 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-04-20 23:10
Kalshi1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.0%2026-04-20 23:10
Polymarket1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.0%2026-04-20 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-04-20 23:10
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.9%2026-04-20 23:10
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%2.4%2026-04-20 23:10
BetOpenly1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%3.9%2026-04-20 22:59