L’École des cotes

Cleveland Cavaliers v Toronto Raptors

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-20 23:12 UTC

Score final : Cleveland Cavaliers 115–105 Toronto Raptors

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cleveland Cavaliers (Local)

Prévision 78.13%1.28cote équitable
EV -2.34%
Avantage -1.87%
Kelly -9.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.96%78.01%78.26%81.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.161.221.221.2586.21%82.23%81.97%80.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Toronto Raptors (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.87%4.57cote équitable
EV +11.55%
Avantage +2.27%
Kelly +2.82%
Croissance +0.326%

avec la cote maximale 5.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.79%21.99%21.74%24.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.954.414.405.1025.32%22.67%22.73%19.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetAnything1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -7.81%E -6.62%K -43.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +11.55%E +2.27%K +2.82%G +0.326%4.4%2026-04-20 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -5.47%E -4.52%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +2.80%E +0.597%K +0.758%G +0.021%3.9%2026-04-20 23:09
Unibet (NL)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -5.47%E -4.52%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +2.80%E +0.597%K +0.758%G +0.021%3.9%2026-04-20 23:10
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -5.47%E -4.52%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +2.80%E +0.597%K +0.758%G +0.021%3.9%2026-04-20 23:10
SportsBet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -5.47%E -4.52%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +2.80%E +0.597%K +0.758%G +0.021%3.9%2026-04-20 23:10
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -5.47%E -4.52%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +2.80%E +0.597%K +0.758%G +0.021%3.9%2026-04-20 23:10
Svenska Spel1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -5.47%E -4.52%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +2.80%E +0.597%K +0.758%G +0.021%3.9%2026-04-20 23:10
Fliff1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV +1.71%E +0.368%K +0.469%G +0.008%4.8%2026-04-20 23:10
TABtouch1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.47%E -4.52%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.617%E +0.134%K +0.171%G +0.001%4.4%2026-04-20 23:10
Unibet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.47%E -4.52%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.617%E +0.134%K +0.171%G +0.001%4.4%2026-04-20 23:10
betPARX1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.47%E -4.52%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.617%E +0.134%K +0.171%G +0.001%4.4%2026-04-20 23:10
Bally Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.47%E -4.52%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.617%E +0.134%K +0.171%G +0.001%4.4%2026-04-20 23:10
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.617%E +0.134%K +0.171%G +0.001%5.1%2026-04-20 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.617%E +0.134%K +0.171%G +0.001%5.1%2026-04-20 23:10
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-20 23:09
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-20 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-20 23:10
DraftKings1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-20 23:09
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-20 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.47%E -4.52%K -26.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-20 23:09
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 23:09
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 23:10
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 23:09
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 23:10
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.57%E -0.349%K -0.449%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 23:09
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 78.32%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.68%EV -2.01%E -0.448%K -0.577%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-20 23:07
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -2.66%E -0.599%K -0.772%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-20 23:09
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -2.66%E -0.599%K -0.772%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-20 23:10
Coolbet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.76%E -0.854%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 23:10
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.76%E -0.854%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 23:10
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.76%E -0.854%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 23:10
ReBet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.76%E -0.854%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 22:59
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.76%E -0.854%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 23:09
Dabble (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.76%E -0.854%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 23:10
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.76%E -0.854%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 23:10
PMU (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.81%E -6.62%K -43.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.76%E -0.854%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-20 23:10
LowVig.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 77.86%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.14%EV -4.63%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-20 23:09
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.85%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 23:09
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.29%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 23:08
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.29%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 23:10
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.29%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.25%E -5.21%K -31.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.29%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-20 22:59
BetOnline.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-20 23:09
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-20 23:09
Codere (IT)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-20 23:01
NetBet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.81%E -6.62%K -43.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 23:00
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 78.75%EV -9.37%E -8.08%K -58.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 23:09
MyBookie.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 77.82%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.18%EV -6.38%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 23:02
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.04%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-20 23:09
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-20 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 23:10
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 22:59
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 22:59
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 22:59
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-20 23:10
Bet Right1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 23:10
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.69%E -3.84%K -21.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.51%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 23:10
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -13.60%E -3.44%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 23:10
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -13.60%E -3.44%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 23:09
Betclic (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 76.85%EV -7.03%E -5.91%K -37.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -13.60%E -3.44%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-20 23:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-04-20 23:10
ProphetX1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-04-20 23:10
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 78.75%4.67I 21.41%NM 21.25%0.8%2026-04-20 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-04-20 23:10
Kalshi1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.0%2026-04-20 23:10
Polymarket1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.0%2026-04-20 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-04-20 23:10
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.9%2026-04-20 23:10
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%2.4%2026-04-20 23:10
BetOpenly1.26I 79.37%NM 76.40%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.60%3.9%2026-04-20 22:59