Language:English
Cleveland Cavaliers v Miami Heat
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cleveland Cavaliers (Local)
Prediction 56.27%1.78fair odd
EV -0.970%
Edge -0.551%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.49%56.18%56.27%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.701.7661.73%59.01%58.82%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Heat (Visit)
Prediction 43.73%2.29fair odd
EV +0.585%
Edge +0.254%
Kelly +0.450%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%43.82%43.73%45.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.182.202.3051.55%45.90%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Cavaliers (Local): 56.27%; Miami Heat (Visit): 43.73%. For Miami Heat (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.585%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.85%E -5.46%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.585%E +0.254%K +0.450%G +0.003% | 5.2% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV +0.148%E +0.065%K +0.115%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -0.727%E -0.320%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.60%E -0.712%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-25 23:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.60%E -0.712%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.60%E -0.712%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-25 23:39 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.60%E -0.712%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-25 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.60%E -0.712%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.60%E -0.712%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.60%E -0.712%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.60%E -0.712%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-25 23:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.72%E -4.71%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.60%E -0.712%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.04%E -0.910%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.04%E -0.910%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.04%E -0.910%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.48%E -1.11%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-25 23:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.60%E -3.97%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.48%E -1.11%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 23:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-25 23:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.35%E -1.52%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-25 23:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-25 23:36 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-25 23:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -4.23%E -1.93%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-25 23:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.60%E -3.97%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -8.28%E -5.08%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -5.10%E -2.35%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-25 23:31 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.54%E -2.56%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 23:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -0.970%E -0.551%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.53%E -0.876%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-25 23:38 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-25 23:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.53%E -0.876%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -6.41%E -3.00%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.66%E -1.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.66%E -1.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.66%E -1.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.66%E -1.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.66%E -1.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -9.04%E -4.34%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.28%EV -11.22%E -5.53%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-25 23:33 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.49%EV -8.85%E -5.46%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.51%EV -15.16%E -7.81%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00% | 0.2% | 2026-03-25 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35% | 0.3% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35% | 0.3% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-03-25 23:37 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64% | 1.4% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61% | 1.9% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72% | 2.1% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58% | 2.4% | 2026-03-25 23:40 |