L’École des cotes

Cleveland Cavaliers v Miami Heat

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-25 23:42 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cleveland Cavaliers (Local)

Prévision 56.27%1.78cote équitable
EV -0.970%
Avantage -0.551%
Kelly -1.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.49%56.18%56.27%58.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.691.701.7661.73%59.01%58.82%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Miami Heat (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.73%2.29cote équitable
EV +0.585%
Avantage +0.254%
Kelly +0.450%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.33%43.82%43.73%45.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.942.182.202.3051.55%45.90%45.45%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.85%E -5.46%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.585%E +0.254%K +0.450%G +0.003%5.2%2026-03-25 23:40
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV +0.148%E +0.065%K +0.115%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-25 23:40
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -0.727%E -0.320%K -0.572%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-25 23:40
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.60%E -0.712%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-25 23:39
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.60%E -0.712%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-25 23:40
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.60%E -0.712%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-25 23:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.60%E -0.712%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.60%E -0.712%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 23:40
TAB1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.60%E -0.712%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 23:40
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.60%E -0.712%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 23:40
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.60%E -0.712%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 23:29
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.72%E -4.71%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.60%E -0.712%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 23:40
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.04%E -0.910%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-25 23:40
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.04%E -0.910%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-25 23:40
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.04%E -0.910%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-25 23:40
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.48%E -1.11%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-25 23:39
MyBookie.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.60%E -3.97%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.48%E -1.11%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-25 23:34
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-25 23:39
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.35%E -1.52%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-25 23:39
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-25 23:40
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-25 23:36
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-25 23:40
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-25 23:40
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 23:40
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 23:40
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 23:40
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-25 23:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-25 23:40
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-25 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-25 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-25 23:40
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -4.23%E -1.93%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-25 23:29
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.60%E -3.97%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-25 23:40
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -8.28%E -5.08%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -5.10%E -2.35%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-25 23:31
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.54%E -2.56%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-25 23:30
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -0.970%E -0.551%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-25 23:40
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.53%E -0.876%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-25 23:38
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 23:40
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 23:40
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 23:40
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-25 23:40
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 23:40
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 23:40
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 23:40
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-25 23:29
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.53%E -0.876%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -6.41%E -3.00%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-25 23:40
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.66%E -1.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 23:40
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.66%E -1.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 23:40
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.66%E -1.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 23:40
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.66%E -1.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 23:40
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 23:40
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 23:40
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 23:40
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.66%E -1.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-25 23:40
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-25 23:40
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-25 23:40
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -9.04%E -4.34%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-25 23:40
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.28%EV -11.22%E -5.53%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-25 23:33
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.49%EV -8.85%E -5.46%K -14.27%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.51%EV -15.16%E -7.81%K -16.13%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-25 23:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-03-25 23:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-03-25 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-03-25 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-03-25 23:40
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-03-25 23:40
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-03-25 23:37
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-03-25 23:40
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%1.9%2026-03-25 23:40
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%2.1%2026-03-25 23:40
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-03-25 23:40