La escuela de los momios

Cleveland Cavaliers v Miami Heat

Inicio: 2026-03-25 23:42 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cleveland Cavaliers (Local)

Predicción 56.27%1.78momio equitativo
EV -0.970%
Ventaja -0.551%
Kelly -1.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.49%56.18%56.27%58.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.691.701.7661.73%59.01%58.82%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Miami Heat (Visitante)

Predicción 43.73%2.29momio equitativo
EV +0.585%
Ventaja +0.254%
Kelly +0.450%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.33%43.82%43.73%45.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.942.182.202.3051.55%45.90%45.45%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.85%E -5.46%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.585%E +0.254%K +0.450%G +0.003%5.2%2026-03-25 23:40
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV +0.148%E +0.065%K +0.115%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-25 23:40
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -0.727%E -0.320%K -0.572%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-25 23:40
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.60%E -0.712%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-25 23:39
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.60%E -0.712%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-25 23:40
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.60%E -0.712%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-25 23:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.60%E -0.712%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.60%E -0.712%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 23:40
TAB1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.60%E -0.712%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 23:40
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.60%E -0.712%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 23:40
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.60%E -0.712%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 23:29
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.72%E -4.71%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.60%E -0.712%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 23:40
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.04%E -0.910%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-25 23:40
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.04%E -0.910%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-25 23:40
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.04%E -0.910%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-25 23:40
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.48%E -1.11%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-25 23:39
MyBookie.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.60%E -3.97%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.48%E -1.11%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-25 23:34
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.91%E -2.90%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -2.91%E -1.31%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-25 23:39
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.35%E -1.52%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-25 23:39
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-25 23:40
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-25 23:36
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-25 23:40
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-25 23:40
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 23:40
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 23:40
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 23:40
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-25 23:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-25 23:40
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-25 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-25 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.16%E -4.34%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.79%E -1.72%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-25 23:40
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -4.23%E -1.93%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-25 23:29
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -6.60%E -3.97%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -4.66%E -2.14%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-25 23:40
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -8.28%E -5.08%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -5.10%E -2.35%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-25 23:31
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.54%E -2.56%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-25 23:30
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -0.970%E -0.551%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-25 23:40
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.53%E -0.876%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-25 23:38
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 23:40
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 23:40
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.09%E -1.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-25 23:40
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-25 23:40
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 23:40
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 23:40
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.35%E -2.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 23:40
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.03%E -3.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.97%E -2.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-25 23:29
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.53%E -0.876%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -6.41%E -3.00%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-25 23:40
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.66%E -1.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 23:40
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.66%E -1.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 23:40
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.66%E -1.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 23:40
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.66%E -1.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 23:40
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 23:40
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 23:40
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.22%E -1.87%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.29%E -3.44%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-25 23:40
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.66%E -1.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-25 23:40
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-25 23:40
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.78%E -2.21%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.16%E -3.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-25 23:40
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -9.04%E -4.34%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-25 23:40
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -5.47%E -3.26%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.28%EV -11.22%E -5.53%K -10.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-25 23:33
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.49%EV -8.85%E -5.46%K -14.27%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.51%EV -15.16%E -7.81%K -16.13%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-25 23:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-03-25 23:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-03-25 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-03-25 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-03-25 23:40
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-03-25 23:40
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-03-25 23:37
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-03-25 23:40
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%1.9%2026-03-25 23:40
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%2.1%2026-03-25 23:40
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-03-25 23:40