Language:English
Cleveland Cavaliers v Detroit Pistons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cleveland Cavaliers (Local)
Prediction 59.18%1.69fair odd
EV +2.38%
Edge +1.37%
Kelly +3.26%
Growth +0.077%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%59.03%59.13%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.621.611.7366.23%61.90%62.11%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Detroit Pistons (Visit)
Prediction 40.82%2.45fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.672%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%40.97%40.87%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.332.352.4147.62%42.95%42.55%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Cavaliers (Local): 59.18%; Detroit Pistons (Visit): 40.82%. For Cleveland Cavaliers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.69. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.73, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.38%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +2.38%E +1.37%K +3.26%G +0.077% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -14.27%E -6.80%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 23:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +2.38%E +1.37%K +3.26%G +0.077% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -14.27%E -6.80%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +2.38%E +1.37%K +3.26%G +0.077% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -14.27%E -6.80%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 23:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +2.38%E +1.37%K +3.26%G +0.077% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -14.27%E -6.80%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 23:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.76%E -1.06%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.36%E -1.43%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-12 00:08 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.36%E -1.43%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.84%E -1.19%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.36%E -1.43%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-12 00:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.36%E -1.43%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.36%E -1.43%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.36%E -1.43%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.15%E -3.62%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 00:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -2.95%E -1.80%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.95%E -1.80%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -2.95%E -1.80%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -7.33%E -3.23%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 00:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -3.54%E -2.17%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.54%E -2.17%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -2.84%E -1.19%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.54%E -2.17%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.54%E -2.17%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.88%E -2.10%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 00:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.54%E -2.17%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-11 23:58 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.54%E -2.17%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.13%E -2.55%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.13%E -2.55%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.84%E -1.19%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-12 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.13%E -2.55%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.13%E -2.55%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.13%E -2.55%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.13%E -2.55%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.15%E -3.62%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 00:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 00:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 00:08 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.84%E -1.19%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.84%E -1.19%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.84%E -1.19%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 00:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.84%E -1.19%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 00:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 00:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 00:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 00:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -5.91%E -3.72%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -1.62%E -0.672%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-11 23:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.91%E -3.72%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.91%E -3.72%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.50%E -4.11%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.50%E -4.11%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 00:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.09%E -4.52%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.84%E -1.19%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.09%E -4.52%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 00:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.09%E -4.52%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 00:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -7.68%E -4.92%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -5.29%E -2.28%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 00:01 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.15%E -3.62%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-12 00:07 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.84%EV -10.64%E -7.05%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -8.15%E -3.62%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-12 00:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-05-11 23:59 |
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.47% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.53% | 0.7% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.2% | 2026-05-12 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.6% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-05-12 00:09 |