La escuela de los momios

Cleveland Cavaliers v Detroit Pistons

Inicio: 2026-05-12 00:15 UTC

Final: Cleveland Cavaliers 112–103 Detroit Pistons

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cleveland Cavaliers (Local)

Predicción 59.18%1.69momio equitativo
EV +2.38%
Ventaja +1.37%
Kelly +3.26%
Crecimiento +0.077%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.83%59.03%59.13%60.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.511.621.611.7366.23%61.90%62.11%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Detroit Pistons (Visitante)

Predicción 40.82%2.45momio equitativo
EV -1.62%
Ventaja -0.672%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.75%40.97%40.87%45.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.332.352.4147.62%42.95%42.55%41.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +2.38%E +1.37%K +3.26%G +0.077%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -14.27%E -6.80%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 23:59
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +2.38%E +1.37%K +3.26%G +0.077%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -14.27%E -6.80%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 00:09
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +2.38%E +1.37%K +3.26%G +0.077%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -14.27%E -6.80%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 23:59
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +2.38%E +1.37%K +3.26%G +0.077%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -14.27%E -6.80%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 23:59
theScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.76%E -1.06%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-12 00:09
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.36%E -1.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-12 00:08
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.36%E -1.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.84%E -1.19%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-12 00:09
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.36%E -1.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 00:10
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.36%E -1.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 00:09
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.36%E -1.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 00:09
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.36%E -1.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.15%E -3.62%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 00:10
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -2.95%E -1.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-12 00:09
Dabble (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.95%E -1.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 00:09
Codere (IT)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -2.95%E -1.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -7.33%E -3.23%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 00:00
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -3.54%E -2.17%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 00:09
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.54%E -2.17%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -2.84%E -1.19%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-12 00:09
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.54%E -2.17%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-12 00:09
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.54%E -2.17%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.88%E -2.10%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 00:10
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.54%E -2.17%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 23:58
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.54%E -2.17%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 00:09
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.13%E -2.55%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-12 00:09
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.13%E -2.55%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.84%E -1.19%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-12 00:10
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.13%E -2.55%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 00:09
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.13%E -2.55%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 00:09
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.13%E -2.55%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 00:09
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.13%E -2.55%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.15%E -3.62%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 00:09
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 00:09
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 00:09
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 00:10
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 00:09
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 00:09
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 00:09
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 00:10
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 00:08
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 00:09
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 00:09
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 00:09
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.84%E -1.19%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 00:09
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.84%E -1.19%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 00:09
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.84%E -1.19%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 00:10
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.84%E -1.19%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 00:09
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 00:00
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 00:09
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 00:09
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 00:10
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 00:09
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 00:10
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 00:09
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 00:10
ReBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 00:09
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -5.91%E -3.72%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -1.62%E -0.672%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-11 23:59
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.91%E -3.72%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 00:09
Bet Right1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.91%E -3.72%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 00:09
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.50%E -4.11%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 00:09
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.50%E -4.11%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.09%E -4.52%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.84%E -1.19%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 00:09
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.09%E -4.52%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.09%E -4.52%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 00:10
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -7.68%E -4.92%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -5.29%E -2.28%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 00:09
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 00:01
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.15%E -3.62%K -6.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-12 00:07
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 59.84%EV -10.64%E -7.05%K -20.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -8.15%E -3.62%K -6.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-12 00:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-05-12 00:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-05-12 00:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-05-12 00:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-05-12 00:09
BetOpenly1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-05-11 23:59
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.47%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.53%0.7%2026-05-12 00:09
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-12 00:09
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-05-12 00:10
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.6%2026-05-12 00:09
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-05-12 00:09