L’École des cotes

Cleveland Cavaliers v Detroit Pistons

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-12 00:15 UTC

Score final : Cleveland Cavaliers 112–103 Detroit Pistons

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cleveland Cavaliers (Local)

Prévision 59.18%1.69cote équitable
EV +2.38%
Avantage +1.37%
Kelly +3.26%
Croissance +0.077%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.83%59.03%59.13%60.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.511.621.611.7366.23%61.90%62.11%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Detroit Pistons (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.82%2.45cote équitable
EV -1.62%
Avantage -0.672%
Kelly -1.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.75%40.97%40.87%45.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.332.352.4147.62%42.95%42.55%41.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +2.38%E +1.37%K +3.26%G +0.077%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -14.27%E -6.80%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 23:59
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +2.38%E +1.37%K +3.26%G +0.077%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -14.27%E -6.80%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 00:09
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +2.38%E +1.37%K +3.26%G +0.077%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -14.27%E -6.80%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 23:59
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +2.38%E +1.37%K +3.26%G +0.077%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -14.27%E -6.80%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 23:59
theScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.76%E -1.06%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-12 00:09
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.36%E -1.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-12 00:08
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.36%E -1.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -2.84%E -1.19%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-12 00:09
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.36%E -1.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 00:10
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.36%E -1.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 00:09
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.36%E -1.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 00:09
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.36%E -1.43%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.15%E -3.62%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 00:10
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -2.95%E -1.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-12 00:09
Dabble (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.95%E -1.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 00:09
Codere (IT)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -2.95%E -1.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -7.33%E -3.23%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 00:00
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -3.54%E -2.17%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 00:09
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.54%E -2.17%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -2.84%E -1.19%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-12 00:09
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.54%E -2.17%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-12 00:09
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.54%E -2.17%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.88%E -2.10%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 00:10
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.54%E -2.17%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 23:58
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.54%E -2.17%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 00:09
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.13%E -2.55%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-12 00:09
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.13%E -2.55%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.84%E -1.19%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-12 00:10
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.13%E -2.55%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 00:09
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.13%E -2.55%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 00:09
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.13%E -2.55%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 00:09
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.13%E -2.55%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.15%E -3.62%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 00:09
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 00:09
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 00:09
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 00:10
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 00:09
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 00:09
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 00:09
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 00:10
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.72%E -2.93%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 00:08
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 00:09
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 00:09
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 00:09
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.84%E -1.19%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 00:09
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.84%E -1.19%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 00:09
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.84%E -1.19%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 00:10
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.84%E -1.19%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 00:09
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 00:00
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 00:09
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 00:09
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 00:10
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 00:09
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 00:10
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 00:09
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 00:10
ReBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.32%E -3.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 00:09
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -5.91%E -3.72%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -1.62%E -0.672%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-11 23:59
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.91%E -3.72%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.03%E -0.845%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 00:09
Bet Right1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.91%E -3.72%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 00:09
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.50%E -4.11%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 00:09
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.50%E -4.11%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.09%E -4.52%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.84%E -1.19%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 00:09
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.09%E -4.52%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.09%E -4.52%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.07%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 00:10
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -7.68%E -4.92%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -5.29%E -2.28%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 00:09
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.11%E -2.66%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 00:01
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.27%E -5.34%K -15.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.15%E -3.62%K -6.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-12 00:07
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 59.84%EV -10.64%E -7.05%K -20.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -8.15%E -3.62%K -6.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-12 00:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-05-12 00:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-05-12 00:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-05-12 00:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-05-12 00:09
BetOpenly1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-05-11 23:59
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.47%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.53%0.7%2026-05-12 00:09
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-12 00:09
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-05-12 00:10
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.6%2026-05-12 00:09
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-05-12 00:09