Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Bulls v Phoenix Suns

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 19:41 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Bulls (Local)

Prediction 18.05%5.54fair odd
EV +3.76%
Edge +0.654%
Kelly +0.792%
Growth +0.030%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.42%18.12%18.08%20.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.185.245.7522.22%19.29%19.08%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Phoenix Suns (Visit)

Prediction 81.95%1.22fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -13.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.79%81.88%81.92%83.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.171.171.1988.50%85.77%85.47%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Bulls (Local): 18.05%; Phoenix Suns (Visit): 81.95%. For Chicago Bulls (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.54. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.76%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +3.76%E +0.654%K +0.792%G +0.030%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.75%E -5.00%K -38.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 19:39
BetUS🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +3.76%E +0.654%K +0.792%G +0.030%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.75%E -5.00%K -38.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 19:39
theScore Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +3.76%E +0.654%K +0.792%G +0.030%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -7.39%E -6.54%K -56.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 19:39
LowVig.ag🎯5.71I 17.51%NM 16.89%EV +3.04%E +0.532%K +0.645%G +0.020%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.11%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.83%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 19:40
Fliff🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 16.91%EV +1.96%E +0.346%K +0.421%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.09%EV -5.75%E -5.00%K -38.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 19:39
BetOnline.ag🎯5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV +1.23%E +0.220%K +0.268%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 19:39
Bet Victor🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV +1.05%E +0.188%K +0.229%G +0.002%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -3.29%E -2.79%K -18.30%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-05 19:38
Winamax (DE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%EV +1.05%E +0.188%K +0.229%G +0.002%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 19:40
DraftKings🎯5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV +0.152%E +0.027%K +0.033%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 19:40
GTbets🎯5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV +0.152%E +0.027%K +0.033%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 19:39
ReBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -0.750%E -0.136%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 19:29
Unibet (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.750%E -0.136%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 19:29
Betr (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.750%E -0.136%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.750%E -0.136%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.75%E -5.00%K -38.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 19:40
BetAnything🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.750%E -0.136%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.75%E -5.00%K -38.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 19:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.750%E -0.136%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.57%E -5.76%K -46.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 19:40
Coral🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.750%E -0.136%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.57%E -5.76%K -46.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 19:40
SportsBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.55%E -0.473%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 19:40
Unibet (UK)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.55%E -0.473%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 19:38
Coolbet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.55%E -0.473%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 19:39
Codere (IT)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.55%E -0.473%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 19:30
Marathon Bet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.55%E -0.473%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 19:29
Pinnacle🎯5.31I 18.83%NM 18.31%EV -4.18%E -0.787%K -0.970%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.69%EV -2.47%E -2.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 19:39
FanDuel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.36%E -0.823%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 19:40
Caesars🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.36%E -0.823%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 19:38
NetBet (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -4.36%E -0.823%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -7.39%E -6.54%K -56.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 19:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.26%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 19:40
Bovada🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.26%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 19:38
Fanatics🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.26%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 19:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.26%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 19:40
Neds🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.26%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 19:39
Dabble (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.26%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.75%E -5.00%K -38.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 19:39
MyBookie.ag🎯5.24I 19.08%NM 18.13%EV -5.44%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.88%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 19:31
TAB🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -6.16%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -3.29%E -2.79%K -18.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 19:40
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -6.16%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.75%E -5.00%K -38.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 19:30
Everygame🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -7.97%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.29%E -2.79%K -18.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 19:39
Unibet (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -2.47%E -2.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 19:40
Svenska Spel🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -2.47%E -2.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 19:40
ATG (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -2.47%E -2.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 19:40
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 19:39
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 19:39
Bet Right🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 19:40
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 19:38
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 19:39
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 19:40
Unibet (NL)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 19:40
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 19:40
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 19:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 19:29
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.57%E -5.76%K -46.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 19:29
Betclic (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.39%E -6.54%K -56.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 19:39
Betsson🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -11.58%E -2.36%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.29%E -2.79%K -18.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 19:39
NordicBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -11.58%E -2.36%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.29%E -2.79%K -18.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 19:40
PlayUp🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -12.48%E -2.57%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -2.47%E -2.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 19:40
LiveScore Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -13.38%E -2.79%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.47%E -2.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 19:39
BetRivers🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -13.38%E -2.79%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.47%E -2.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 19:40
TABtouch🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -13.38%E -2.79%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.47%E -2.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 19:39
Unibet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -13.38%E -2.79%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.47%E -2.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 19:40
betPARX🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -13.38%E -2.79%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.47%E -2.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 19:40
Bally Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -13.38%E -2.79%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.47%E -2.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 19:39
Virgin Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -14.28%E -3.01%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.29%E -2.79%K -18.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -15.19%E -3.23%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 19:40
LeoVegas🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -16.99%E -3.69%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -5.75%E -5.00%K -38.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 19:40
PMU (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -18.80%E -4.18%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -6.57%E -5.76%K -46.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 19:40
Winamax (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -18.80%E -4.18%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 79.93%EV -7.39%E -6.54%K -56.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 19:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly6.25I 16.00%NM 15.99%1.19I 84.03%NM 84.01%0.0%2026-04-05 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-04-05 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-04-05 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-04-05 19:40
Polymarket6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%0.7%2026-04-05 19:40
Novig5.92I 16.89%NM 16.74%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.26%0.9%2026-04-05 19:40
Kalshi5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%1.0%2026-04-05 19:40
ProphetX5.85I 17.09%NM 16.90%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.10%1.1%2026-04-05 19:40
Smarkets5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09%2.0%2026-04-05 19:40
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%4.7%2026-04-05 19:40