L’École des cotes

Chicago Bulls v Phoenix Suns

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 19:41 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chicago Bulls (Local)

Prévision 18.05%5.54cote équitable
EV +3.76%
Avantage +0.654%
Kelly +0.792%
Croissance +0.030%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.42%18.12%18.08%20.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.185.245.7522.22%19.29%19.08%17.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Phoenix Suns (Visiteur)

Prévision 81.95%1.22cote équitable
EV -2.47%
Avantage -2.08%
Kelly -13.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
79.79%81.88%81.92%83.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.131.171.171.1988.50%85.77%85.47%84.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetMGM5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +3.76%E +0.654%K +0.792%G +0.030%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.75%E -5.00%K -38.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 19:39
BetUS5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +3.76%E +0.654%K +0.792%G +0.030%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.75%E -5.00%K -38.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 19:39
theScore Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +3.76%E +0.654%K +0.792%G +0.030%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -7.39%E -6.54%K -56.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 19:39
LowVig.ag5.71I 17.51%NM 16.89%EV +3.04%E +0.532%K +0.645%G +0.020%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.11%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.83%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 19:40
Fliff5.65I 17.70%NM 16.91%EV +1.96%E +0.346%K +0.421%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.09%EV -5.75%E -5.00%K -38.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 19:39
BetOnline.ag5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV +1.23%E +0.220%K +0.268%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 19:39
Bet Victor5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV +1.05%E +0.188%K +0.229%G +0.002%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -3.29%E -2.79%K -18.30%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-05 19:38
Winamax (DE)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%EV +1.05%E +0.188%K +0.229%G +0.002%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 19:40
DraftKings5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV +0.152%E +0.027%K +0.033%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 19:40
GTbets5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV +0.152%E +0.027%K +0.033%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 19:39
ReBet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -0.750%E -0.136%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 19:29
Unibet (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.750%E -0.136%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 19:29
Betr (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.750%E -0.136%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.750%E -0.136%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.75%E -5.00%K -38.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 19:40
BetAnything5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.750%E -0.136%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.75%E -5.00%K -38.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 19:39
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.750%E -0.136%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.57%E -5.76%K -46.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 19:40
Coral5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.750%E -0.136%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.57%E -5.76%K -46.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 19:40
SportsBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.55%E -0.473%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 19:40
Unibet (UK)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.55%E -0.473%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 19:38
Coolbet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.55%E -0.473%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 19:39
Codere (IT)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.55%E -0.473%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 19:30
Marathon Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.55%E -0.473%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 19:29
Pinnacle5.31I 18.83%NM 18.31%EV -4.18%E -0.787%K -0.970%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.69%EV -2.47%E -2.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 19:39
FanDuel5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.36%E -0.823%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 19:40
Caesars5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.36%E -0.823%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 19:38
NetBet (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -4.36%E -0.823%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -7.39%E -6.54%K -56.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 19:29
PointsBet (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.26%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 19:40
Bovada5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.26%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 19:38
Fanatics5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.26%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 19:39
Hard Rock Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.26%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 19:40
Neds5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.26%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 19:39
Dabble (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.26%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.75%E -5.00%K -38.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 19:39
MyBookie.ag5.24I 19.08%NM 18.13%EV -5.44%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.88%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 19:31
TAB5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -6.16%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -3.29%E -2.79%K -18.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 19:40
Tipico (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -6.16%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.75%E -5.00%K -38.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 19:30
Everygame5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -7.97%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.29%E -2.79%K -18.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 19:39
Unibet (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -2.47%E -2.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 19:40
Svenska Spel5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -2.47%E -2.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 19:40
ATG (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -2.47%E -2.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 19:40
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 19:39
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 19:39
Bet Right5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 19:40
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 19:38
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 19:39
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 19:40
Unibet (NL)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 19:40
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 19:40
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 19:29
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 19:29
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.57%E -5.76%K -46.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 19:29
Betclic (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.39%E -6.54%K -56.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 19:39
Betsson4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -11.58%E -2.36%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.29%E -2.79%K -18.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 19:39
NordicBet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -11.58%E -2.36%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.29%E -2.79%K -18.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 19:40
PlayUp4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -12.48%E -2.57%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -2.47%E -2.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 19:40
LiveScore Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -13.38%E -2.79%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.47%E -2.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 19:39
BetRivers4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -13.38%E -2.79%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.47%E -2.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 19:40
TABtouch4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -13.38%E -2.79%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.47%E -2.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 19:39
Unibet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -13.38%E -2.79%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.47%E -2.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 19:40
betPARX4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -13.38%E -2.79%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.47%E -2.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 19:40
Bally Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -13.38%E -2.79%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.47%E -2.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 19:39
Virgin Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -14.28%E -3.01%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.29%E -2.79%K -18.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -15.19%E -3.23%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 19:40
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -16.99%E -3.69%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -5.75%E -5.00%K -38.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 19:40
PMU (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -18.80%E -4.18%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -6.57%E -5.76%K -46.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 19:40
Winamax (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -18.80%E -4.18%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 79.93%EV -7.39%E -6.54%K -56.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 19:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly6.25I 16.00%NM 15.99%1.19I 84.03%NM 84.01%0.0%2026-04-05 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-04-05 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-04-05 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-04-05 19:40
Polymarket6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%0.7%2026-04-05 19:40
Novig5.92I 16.89%NM 16.74%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.26%0.9%2026-04-05 19:40
Kalshi5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%1.0%2026-04-05 19:40
ProphetX5.85I 17.09%NM 16.90%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.10%1.1%2026-04-05 19:40
Smarkets5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09%2.0%2026-04-05 19:40
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%4.7%2026-04-05 19:40