La escuela de los momios

Chicago Bulls v Phoenix Suns

Inicio: 2026-04-05 19:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chicago Bulls (Local)

Predicción 18.05%5.54momio equitativo
EV +3.76%
Ventaja +0.654%
Kelly +0.792%
Crecimiento +0.030%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.42%18.12%18.08%20.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.185.245.7522.22%19.29%19.08%17.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Phoenix Suns (Visitante)

Predicción 81.95%1.22momio equitativo
EV -2.47%
Ventaja -2.08%
Kelly -13.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.19

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
79.79%81.88%81.92%83.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.131.171.171.1988.50%85.77%85.47%84.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetMGM5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +3.76%E +0.654%K +0.792%G +0.030%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.75%E -5.00%K -38.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 19:39
BetUS5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV +3.76%E +0.654%K +0.792%G +0.030%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -5.75%E -5.00%K -38.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 19:39
theScore Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +3.76%E +0.654%K +0.792%G +0.030%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -7.39%E -6.54%K -56.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 19:39
LowVig.ag5.71I 17.51%NM 16.89%EV +3.04%E +0.532%K +0.645%G +0.020%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.11%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.83%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 19:40
Fliff5.65I 17.70%NM 16.91%EV +1.96%E +0.346%K +0.421%G +0.008%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.09%EV -5.75%E -5.00%K -38.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 19:39
BetOnline.ag5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV +1.23%E +0.220%K +0.268%G +0.003%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 19:39
Bet Victor5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV +1.05%E +0.188%K +0.229%G +0.002%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -3.29%E -2.79%K -18.30%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-05 19:38
Winamax (DE)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%EV +1.05%E +0.188%K +0.229%G +0.002%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 19:40
DraftKings5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV +0.152%E +0.027%K +0.033%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 19:40
GTbets5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV +0.152%E +0.027%K +0.033%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 19:39
ReBet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -0.750%E -0.136%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 19:29
Unibet (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.750%E -0.136%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 19:29
Betr (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.750%E -0.136%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.750%E -0.136%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.75%E -5.00%K -38.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 19:40
BetAnything5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.750%E -0.136%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.75%E -5.00%K -38.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 19:39
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.750%E -0.136%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.57%E -5.76%K -46.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 19:40
Coral5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.750%E -0.136%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.57%E -5.76%K -46.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 19:40
SportsBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.55%E -0.473%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 19:40
Unibet (UK)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.55%E -0.473%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 19:38
Coolbet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.55%E -0.473%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 19:39
Codere (IT)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.55%E -0.473%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 19:30
Marathon Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.55%E -0.473%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 19:29
Pinnacle5.31I 18.83%NM 18.31%EV -4.18%E -0.787%K -0.970%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.69%EV -2.47%E -2.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-05 19:39
FanDuel5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.36%E -0.823%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 19:40
Caesars5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.36%E -0.823%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-05 19:38
NetBet (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -4.36%E -0.823%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -7.39%E -6.54%K -56.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 19:29
PointsBet (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.26%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 19:40
Bovada5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.26%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 19:38
Fanatics5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.26%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 19:39
Hard Rock Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.26%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 19:40
Neds5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.26%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 19:39
Dabble (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.26%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.75%E -5.00%K -38.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 19:39
MyBookie.ag5.24I 19.08%NM 18.13%EV -5.44%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.88%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 19:31
TAB5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -6.16%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -3.29%E -2.79%K -18.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 19:40
Tipico (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -6.16%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.75%E -5.00%K -38.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 19:30
Everygame5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -7.97%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.29%E -2.79%K -18.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 19:39
Unibet (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -2.47%E -2.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 19:40
Svenska Spel5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -2.47%E -2.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 19:40
ATG (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -2.47%E -2.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 19:40
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 19:39
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 19:39
Bet Right5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 19:40
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 19:38
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 19:39
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 19:40
Unibet (NL)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 19:40
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 19:40
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 19:29
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.11%E -3.52%K -24.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 19:29
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.57%E -5.76%K -46.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 19:29
Betclic (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -9.77%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.39%E -6.54%K -56.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 19:39
Betsson4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -11.58%E -2.36%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.29%E -2.79%K -18.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 19:39
NordicBet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -11.58%E -2.36%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.29%E -2.79%K -18.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 19:40
PlayUp4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -12.48%E -2.57%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -2.47%E -2.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 19:40
LiveScore Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -13.38%E -2.79%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.47%E -2.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 19:39
BetRivers4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -13.38%E -2.79%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.47%E -2.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 19:40
TABtouch4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -13.38%E -2.79%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.47%E -2.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 19:39
Unibet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -13.38%E -2.79%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.47%E -2.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 19:40
betPARX4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -13.38%E -2.79%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.47%E -2.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 19:40
Bally Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -13.38%E -2.79%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.47%E -2.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 19:39
Virgin Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -14.28%E -3.01%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.29%E -2.79%K -18.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -15.19%E -3.23%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -4.93%E -4.25%K -30.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 19:40
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -16.99%E -3.69%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -5.75%E -5.00%K -38.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 19:40
PMU (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -18.80%E -4.18%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -6.57%E -5.76%K -46.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 19:40
Winamax (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -18.80%E -4.18%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 79.93%EV -7.39%E -6.54%K -56.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 19:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly6.25I 16.00%NM 15.99%1.19I 84.03%NM 84.01%0.0%2026-04-05 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-04-05 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-04-05 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-04-05 19:40
Polymarket6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%0.7%2026-04-05 19:40
Novig5.92I 16.89%NM 16.74%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.26%0.9%2026-04-05 19:40
Kalshi5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%1.0%2026-04-05 19:40
ProphetX5.85I 17.09%NM 16.90%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.10%1.1%2026-04-05 19:40
Smarkets5.80I 17.24%NM 16.91%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.09%2.0%2026-04-05 19:40
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%4.7%2026-04-05 19:40