Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Bulls v Cleveland Cavaliers

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 00:11 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Bulls (Local)

Prediction 21.16%4.73fair odd
EV +5.78%
Edge +1.16%
Kelly +1.45%
Growth +0.084%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.09%21.47%21.10%24.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.394.455.0026.32%22.79%22.47%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit)

Prediction 78.84%1.27fair odd
EV +2.50%
Edge +1.92%
Kelly +8.32%
Growth +0.208%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.44%78.53%78.90%80.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.221.221.3084.75%82.01%81.97%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Bulls (Local): 21.16%; Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit): 78.84%. For Chicago Bulls (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.73. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.78%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯4.01I 24.94%NM 24.48%EV -15.16%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.52%EV +2.50%E +1.92%K +8.32%G +0.208%1.9%2026-03-19 23:29
Marathon Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -17.49%E -4.48%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV +0.131%E +0.103%K +0.484%G +0.001%4.4%2026-03-19 23:30
Unibet (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -11.14%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -1.45%E -1.16%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 23:54
Unibet (NL)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -11.14%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -1.45%E -1.16%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 23:54
Svenska Spel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -11.14%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -1.45%E -1.16%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 23:54
ATG (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -11.14%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -1.45%E -1.16%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 23:54
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -15.37%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.45%E -1.16%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 23:55
TABtouch🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -15.37%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.45%E -1.16%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 23:55
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -15.37%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.45%E -1.16%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 23:54
BetRivers🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -15.37%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.45%E -1.16%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 23:54
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -15.37%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.45%E -1.16%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 23:54
Bally Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -15.37%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.45%E -1.16%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 23:54
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -15.37%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.45%E -1.16%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 23:55
NordicBet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -14.31%E -3.53%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -2.23%E -1.80%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 00:04
Betsson🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -14.31%E -3.53%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -2.23%E -1.80%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.37%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.23%E -1.80%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 23:54
Pinnacle🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%EV -2.68%E -0.582%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%EV -3.02%E -2.46%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-20 00:09
Winamax (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.02%E -2.46%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-20 00:00
FanDuel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -2.68%E -0.582%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 23:54
Bet Victor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -2.68%E -0.582%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 23:03
Parions Sport (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 23:49
Unibet (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 22:44
Betr (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 23:04
ReBet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 22:44
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 23:00
TAB🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 23:50
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 22:44
Codere (IT)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.91%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 22:44
theScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.91%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 00:10
Bovada🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.91%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 23:33
MyBookie.ag🎯4.39I 22.78%NM 21.75%EV -7.12%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.25%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 22:48
PlayUp🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -7.97%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 00:04
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.14%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 22:55
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.37%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 23:29
LeoVegas🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -17.49%E -4.48%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 23:44
Betclic (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -19.60%E -5.16%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 00:03
DraftKings🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -0.563%E -0.120%K -0.152%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.60%E -3.80%K -21.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 23:45
SportsBet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -1.62%E -0.349%K -0.444%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -4.60%E -3.80%K -21.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 23:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -10.08%E -2.37%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.60%E -3.80%K -21.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 00:03
Winamax (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -11.14%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.60%E -3.80%K -21.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 23:59
LowVig.ag🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.67%E +0.749%K +0.941%G +0.035%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 23:44
BetUS🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.67%E +0.749%K +0.941%G +0.035%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 23:45
BetOnline.ag🎯4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV +2.19%E +0.453%K +0.571%G +0.012%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 23:44
Fliff🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +1.55%E +0.324%K +0.409%G +0.006%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 00:04
GTbets🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +1.55%E +0.324%K +0.409%G +0.006%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 23:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.495%E +0.104%K +0.132%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 00:10
BetMGM🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.495%E +0.104%K +0.132%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 23:44
Everygame🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.495%E +0.104%K +0.132%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 23:39
BetAnything🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.495%E +0.104%K +0.132%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 23:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 00:09
Neds🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 00:09
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 23:59
Dabble (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 22:54
Bet Right🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.91%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 23:44
Paddy Power🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.39%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 23:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.39%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 23:44
Unibet (FR)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -10.08%E -2.37%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 23:54
Caesars🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +5.78%E +1.16%K +1.45%G +0.084%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.97%E -5.90%K -38.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.68%E -0.582%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.97%E -5.90%K -38.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 23:44
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.68%E -0.582%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.97%E -5.90%K -38.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 23:44
Tipico (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.68%E -0.582%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.97%E -5.90%K -38.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 23:59
NetBet (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.97%E -5.90%K -38.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 23:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%0.3%2026-03-19 23:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-03-20 00:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-03-20 00:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-03-20 00:10
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-03-20 00:09
ProphetX5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-03-20 00:04
Novig4.93I 20.28%NM 20.10%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.90%0.9%2026-03-20 00:10
Polymarket4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%1.0%2026-03-20 00:10
Kalshi5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%1.3%2026-03-19 23:34
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70%1.6%2026-03-20 00:10