La escuela de los momios

Chicago Bulls v Cleveland Cavaliers

Inicio: 2026-03-20 00:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chicago Bulls (Local)

Predicción 21.16%4.73momio equitativo
EV +5.78%
Ventaja +1.16%
Kelly +1.45%
Crecimiento +0.084%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.09%21.47%21.10%24.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.394.455.0026.32%22.79%22.47%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cleveland Cavaliers (Visitante)

Predicción 78.84%1.27momio equitativo
EV +2.50%
Ventaja +1.92%
Kelly +8.32%
Crecimiento +0.208%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.44%78.53%78.90%80.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.181.221.221.3084.75%82.01%81.97%76.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 24.48%EV -15.16%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.52%EV +2.50%E +1.92%K +8.32%G +0.208%1.9%2026-03-19 23:29
Marathon Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -17.49%E -4.48%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV +0.131%E +0.103%K +0.484%G +0.001%4.4%2026-03-19 23:30
Unibet (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -11.14%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -1.45%E -1.16%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 23:54
Unibet (NL)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -11.14%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -1.45%E -1.16%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 23:54
Svenska Spel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -11.14%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -1.45%E -1.16%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 23:54
ATG (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -11.14%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -1.45%E -1.16%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 23:54
Virgin Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -15.37%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.45%E -1.16%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 23:55
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -15.37%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.45%E -1.16%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 23:55
LiveScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -15.37%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.45%E -1.16%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 23:54
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -15.37%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.45%E -1.16%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 23:54
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -15.37%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.45%E -1.16%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 23:54
Bally Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -15.37%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.45%E -1.16%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 23:54
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -15.37%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.45%E -1.16%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 23:55
NordicBet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -14.31%E -3.53%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -2.23%E -1.80%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 00:04
Betsson4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -14.31%E -3.53%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -2.23%E -1.80%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.37%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.23%E -1.80%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 23:54
Pinnacle4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%EV -2.68%E -0.582%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%EV -3.02%E -2.46%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-20 00:09
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.02%E -2.46%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-20 00:00
FanDuel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -2.68%E -0.582%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 23:54
Bet Victor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -2.68%E -0.582%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 23:03
Parions Sport (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 23:49
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 22:44
Betr (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 23:04
ReBet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 22:44
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 23:00
TAB4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 23:50
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 22:44
Codere (IT)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.91%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 22:44
theScore Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.91%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 00:10
Bovada4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.91%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 23:33
MyBookie.ag4.39I 22.78%NM 21.75%EV -7.12%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.25%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 22:48
PlayUp4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -7.97%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 00:04
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.14%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 22:55
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.37%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 23:29
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -17.49%E -4.48%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 23:44
Betclic (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -19.60%E -5.16%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 00:03
DraftKings4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -0.563%E -0.120%K -0.152%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.60%E -3.80%K -21.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 23:45
SportsBet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -1.62%E -0.349%K -0.444%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -4.60%E -3.80%K -21.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 23:59
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -10.08%E -2.37%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.60%E -3.80%K -21.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 00:03
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -11.14%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.60%E -3.80%K -21.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 23:59
LowVig.ag4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.67%E +0.749%K +0.941%G +0.035%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 23:44
BetUS4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.67%E +0.749%K +0.941%G +0.035%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 23:45
BetOnline.ag4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV +2.19%E +0.453%K +0.571%G +0.012%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 23:44
Fliff4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +1.55%E +0.324%K +0.409%G +0.006%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 00:04
GTbets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +1.55%E +0.324%K +0.409%G +0.006%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 23:54
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.495%E +0.104%K +0.132%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 00:10
BetMGM4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.495%E +0.104%K +0.132%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 23:44
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.495%E +0.104%K +0.132%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 23:39
BetAnything4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.495%E +0.104%K +0.132%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 23:44
Ladbrokes (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 00:09
Neds4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 00:09
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 23:59
Dabble (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 22:54
Bet Right4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.91%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 23:44
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.39%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 23:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.39%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 23:44
Unibet (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -10.08%E -2.37%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 23:54
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +5.78%E +1.16%K +1.45%G +0.084%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.97%E -5.90%K -38.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.68%E -0.582%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.97%E -5.90%K -38.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 23:44
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.68%E -0.582%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.97%E -5.90%K -38.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 23:44
Tipico (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.68%E -0.582%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.97%E -5.90%K -38.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 23:59
NetBet (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.97%E -5.90%K -38.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 23:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%0.3%2026-03-19 23:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-03-20 00:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-03-20 00:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-03-20 00:10
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-03-20 00:09
ProphetX5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-03-20 00:04
Novig4.93I 20.28%NM 20.10%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.90%0.9%2026-03-20 00:10
Polymarket4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%1.0%2026-03-20 00:10
Kalshi5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%1.3%2026-03-19 23:34
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70%1.6%2026-03-20 00:10