L’École des cotes

Chicago Bulls v Cleveland Cavaliers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-20 00:11 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chicago Bulls (Local)

Prévision 21.16%4.73cote équitable
EV +5.78%
Avantage +1.16%
Kelly +1.45%
Croissance +0.084%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.09%21.47%21.10%24.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.394.455.0026.32%22.79%22.47%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cleveland Cavaliers (Visiteur)

Prévision 78.84%1.27cote équitable
EV +2.50%
Avantage +1.92%
Kelly +8.32%
Croissance +0.208%

avec la cote maximale 1.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.44%78.53%78.90%80.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.181.221.221.3084.75%82.01%81.97%76.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 24.48%EV -15.16%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.52%EV +2.50%E +1.92%K +8.32%G +0.208%1.9%2026-03-19 23:29
Marathon Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -17.49%E -4.48%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV +0.131%E +0.103%K +0.484%G +0.001%4.4%2026-03-19 23:30
Unibet (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -11.14%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -1.45%E -1.16%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 23:54
Unibet (NL)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -11.14%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -1.45%E -1.16%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 23:54
Svenska Spel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -11.14%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -1.45%E -1.16%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 23:54
ATG (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -11.14%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -1.45%E -1.16%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 23:54
Virgin Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -15.37%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.45%E -1.16%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 23:55
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -15.37%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.45%E -1.16%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 23:55
LiveScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -15.37%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.45%E -1.16%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 23:54
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -15.37%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.45%E -1.16%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 23:54
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -15.37%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.45%E -1.16%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 23:54
Bally Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -15.37%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.45%E -1.16%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 23:54
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -15.37%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.45%E -1.16%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 23:55
NordicBet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -14.31%E -3.53%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -2.23%E -1.80%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 00:04
Betsson4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -14.31%E -3.53%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -2.23%E -1.80%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.37%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.23%E -1.80%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 23:54
Pinnacle4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%EV -2.68%E -0.582%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%EV -3.02%E -2.46%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-20 00:09
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.02%E -2.46%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-20 00:00
FanDuel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -2.68%E -0.582%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 23:54
Bet Victor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -2.68%E -0.582%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 23:03
Parions Sport (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 23:49
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 22:44
Betr (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 23:04
ReBet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 22:44
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 23:00
TAB4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 23:50
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 22:44
Codere (IT)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.91%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 22:44
theScore Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.91%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 00:10
Bovada4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.91%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 23:33
MyBookie.ag4.39I 22.78%NM 21.75%EV -7.12%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.25%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 22:48
PlayUp4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -7.97%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 00:04
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.14%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 22:55
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.37%E -3.84%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 23:29
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -17.49%E -4.48%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 23:44
Betclic (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -19.60%E -5.16%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -3.81%E -3.12%K -17.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 00:03
DraftKings4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -0.563%E -0.120%K -0.152%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.60%E -3.80%K -21.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 23:45
SportsBet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -1.62%E -0.349%K -0.444%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -4.60%E -3.80%K -21.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 23:59
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -10.08%E -2.37%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.60%E -3.80%K -21.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 00:03
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -11.14%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.60%E -3.80%K -21.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 23:59
LowVig.ag4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.67%E +0.749%K +0.941%G +0.035%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 23:44
BetUS4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.67%E +0.749%K +0.941%G +0.035%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 23:45
BetOnline.ag4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV +2.19%E +0.453%K +0.571%G +0.012%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 23:44
Fliff4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +1.55%E +0.324%K +0.409%G +0.006%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-20 00:04
GTbets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +1.55%E +0.324%K +0.409%G +0.006%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 23:54
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.495%E +0.104%K +0.132%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 00:10
BetMGM4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.495%E +0.104%K +0.132%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 23:44
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.495%E +0.104%K +0.132%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 23:39
BetAnything4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.495%E +0.104%K +0.132%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 23:44
Ladbrokes (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 00:09
Neds4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 00:09
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 23:59
Dabble (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 22:54
Bet Right4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.91%E -1.57%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 23:44
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.39%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 23:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.39%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 23:44
Unibet (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -10.08%E -2.37%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.39%E -4.49%K -26.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 23:54
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +5.78%E +1.16%K +1.45%G +0.084%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.97%E -5.90%K -38.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.68%E -0.582%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.97%E -5.90%K -38.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 23:44
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.68%E -0.582%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.97%E -5.90%K -38.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 23:44
Tipico (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -2.68%E -0.582%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.97%E -5.90%K -38.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 23:59
NetBet (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.79%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.97%E -5.90%K -38.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 23:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%0.3%2026-03-19 23:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-03-20 00:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-03-20 00:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-03-20 00:10
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-03-20 00:09
ProphetX5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-03-20 00:04
Novig4.93I 20.28%NM 20.10%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.90%0.9%2026-03-20 00:10
Polymarket4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%1.0%2026-03-20 00:10
Kalshi5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%1.3%2026-03-19 23:34
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70%1.6%2026-03-20 00:10