Language:English
Charlotte Hornets v Miami Heat
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Charlotte Hornets (Local)
Prediction 70.66%1.42fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.766%
Kelly -2.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.80%70.39%70.65%72.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.351.351.4076.92%74.26%74.07%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Heat (Visit)
Prediction 29.34%3.41fair odd
EV +1.21%
Edge +0.352%
Kelly +0.496%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.81%29.61%29.35%32.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.263.303.4535.71%30.70%30.30%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charlotte Hornets (Local): 70.66%; Miami Heat (Visit): 29.34%. For Miami Heat (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.41. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.21%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +1.21%E +0.352%K +0.496%G +0.006% | 3.6% | 2026-03-06 23:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +1.21%E +0.352%K +0.496%G +0.006% | 3.6% | 2026-03-07 00:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +1.21%E +0.352%K +0.496%G +0.006% | 3.6% | 2026-03-06 23:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +1.21%E +0.352%K +0.496%G +0.006% | 3.6% | 2026-03-06 23:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +1.21%E +0.352%K +0.496%G +0.006% | 3.6% | 2026-03-06 22:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.252%E -0.074%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-06 21:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.252%E -0.074%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 23:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.252%E -0.074%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 00:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.252%E -0.074%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 23:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.252%E -0.074%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 23:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -7.43%E -5.67%K -23.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -0.252%E -0.074%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 23:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.01%EV -2.49%E -1.80%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.99%EV -0.839%E -0.248%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.40%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.60%EV -1.13%E -0.336%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 23:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -1.72%E -0.513%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 23:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.72%E -0.513%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 22:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.72%E -0.513%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 23:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.73%E -5.10%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.72%E -0.513%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 23:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.73%E -5.10%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.72%E -0.513%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 23:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.73%E -5.10%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.72%E -0.513%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 23:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.73%E -5.10%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.72%E -0.513%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 23:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -2.01%E -0.602%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-06 23:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 23:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 19:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 23:53 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 23:43 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 23:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 19:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 23:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 19:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 21:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 23:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 23:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 23:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -3.48%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 21:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.32%EV -2.49%E -1.80%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.68%EV -4.07%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 00:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 23:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 23:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 23:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 23:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 23:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -7.43%E -5.67%K -23.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 23:48 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -1.07%E -0.766%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-06 23:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -1.07%E -0.766%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-06 23:58 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 00:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.73%E -5.10%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 23:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.49%E -1.80%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 00:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 23:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 00:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 23:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.49%E -1.80%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.52%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 23:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.49%E -1.80%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.52%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 23:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 23:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 00:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 23:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.78%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.22%EV -14.04%E -4.79%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 00:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.80%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -17.85%E -6.38%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-07 00:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.40% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 27.60% | 0.1% | 2026-03-07 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 00:04 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 00:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 19:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 00:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.49% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.51% | 1.4% | 2026-03-07 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-03-07 00:04 |