La escuela de los momios

Charlotte Hornets v Miami Heat

Inicio: 2026-03-07 00:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Charlotte Hornets (Local)

Predicción 70.66%1.42momio equitativo
EV -1.07%
Ventaja -0.766%
Kelly -2.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.80%70.39%70.65%72.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.351.351.4076.92%74.26%74.07%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Miami Heat (Visitante)

Predicción 29.34%3.41momio equitativo
EV +1.21%
Ventaja +0.352%
Kelly +0.496%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.81%29.61%29.35%32.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.263.303.4535.71%30.70%30.30%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +1.21%E +0.352%K +0.496%G +0.006%3.6%2026-03-06 23:59
Unibet (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +1.21%E +0.352%K +0.496%G +0.006%3.6%2026-03-07 00:00
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +1.21%E +0.352%K +0.496%G +0.006%3.6%2026-03-06 23:59
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +1.21%E +0.352%K +0.496%G +0.006%3.6%2026-03-06 23:59
Everygame1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +1.21%E +0.352%K +0.496%G +0.006%3.6%2026-03-06 22:05
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.252%E -0.074%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 21:40
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.252%E -0.074%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 23:59
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.252%E -0.074%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:00
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.252%E -0.074%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 23:59
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.252%E -0.074%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 23:59
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -7.43%E -5.67%K -23.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -0.252%E -0.074%K -0.105%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 23:39
1xBet1.38I 72.46%NM 71.01%EV -2.49%E -1.80%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.99%EV -0.839%E -0.248%K -0.352%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-06 21:15
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 71.40%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.60%EV -1.13%E -0.336%K -0.478%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 23:34
BetAnything1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -1.72%E -0.513%K -0.731%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 23:34
Caesars1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.72%E -0.513%K -0.731%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 22:29
GTbets1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.72%E -0.513%K -0.731%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.73%E -5.10%K -21.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.72%E -0.513%K -0.731%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 23:59
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.73%E -5.10%K -21.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.72%E -0.513%K -0.731%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 23:59
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.73%E -5.10%K -21.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.72%E -0.513%K -0.731%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 23:59
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.73%E -5.10%K -21.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.72%E -0.513%K -0.731%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 23:59
BetOnline.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -2.01%E -0.602%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 23:34
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 00:09
Parions Sport (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 23:49
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 19:35
Coolbet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 23:53
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 23:43
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 23:44
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 19:35
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 23:55
Marathon Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 19:35
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 21:39
Fliff1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 23:55
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 23:59
Dabble (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 00:09
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 23:59
MyBookie.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -3.48%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 21:44
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 70.32%EV -2.49%E -1.80%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.68%EV -4.07%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 00:00
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 23:44
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 23:35
Codere (IT)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 19:40
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 23:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 23:59
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 23:54
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 19:40
Tipico (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 23:59
NetBet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -7.43%E -5.67%K -23.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 23:48
Winamax (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -1.07%E -0.766%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-06 23:59
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -1.07%E -0.766%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-06 23:58
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 00:10
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.73%E -5.10%K -21.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 23:49
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.49%E -1.80%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 00:00
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 23:35
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 00:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 23:39
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.49%E -1.80%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.52%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 23:54
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.49%E -1.80%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.52%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 23:55
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 23:34
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 00:04
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 23:59
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.78%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.22%EV -14.04%E -4.79%K -7.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 00:05
Winamax (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.80%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -17.85%E -6.38%K -9.92%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-07 00:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.38I 72.46%NM 72.40%3.62I 27.62%NM 27.60%0.1%2026-03-07 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-03-07 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-03-07 00:04
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-03-07 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-03-07 00:09
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-03-06 19:40
Polymarket1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-03-07 00:05
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-03-07 00:10
Novig1.38I 72.46%NM 71.49%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.51%1.4%2026-03-07 00:10
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-03-07 00:04