L’École des cotes

Charlotte Hornets v Miami Heat

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 00:11 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Charlotte Hornets (Local)

Prévision 70.66%1.42cote équitable
EV -1.07%
Avantage -0.766%
Kelly -2.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.80%70.39%70.65%72.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.351.351.4076.92%74.26%74.07%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Miami Heat (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.34%3.41cote équitable
EV +1.21%
Avantage +0.352%
Kelly +0.496%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.81%29.61%29.35%32.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.263.303.4535.71%30.70%30.30%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +1.21%E +0.352%K +0.496%G +0.006%3.6%2026-03-06 23:59
Unibet (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +1.21%E +0.352%K +0.496%G +0.006%3.6%2026-03-07 00:00
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +1.21%E +0.352%K +0.496%G +0.006%3.6%2026-03-06 23:59
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +1.21%E +0.352%K +0.496%G +0.006%3.6%2026-03-06 23:59
Everygame1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +1.21%E +0.352%K +0.496%G +0.006%3.6%2026-03-06 22:05
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.252%E -0.074%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 21:40
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.252%E -0.074%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 23:59
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.252%E -0.074%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 00:00
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.252%E -0.074%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 23:59
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.252%E -0.074%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 23:59
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -7.43%E -5.67%K -23.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -0.252%E -0.074%K -0.105%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 23:39
1xBet1.38I 72.46%NM 71.01%EV -2.49%E -1.80%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.99%EV -0.839%E -0.248%K -0.352%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-06 21:15
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 71.40%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.60%EV -1.13%E -0.336%K -0.478%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 23:34
BetAnything1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -1.72%E -0.513%K -0.731%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 23:34
Caesars1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.72%E -0.513%K -0.731%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 22:29
GTbets1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.72%E -0.513%K -0.731%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.73%E -5.10%K -21.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.72%E -0.513%K -0.731%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 23:59
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.73%E -5.10%K -21.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.72%E -0.513%K -0.731%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 23:59
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.73%E -5.10%K -21.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.72%E -0.513%K -0.731%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 23:59
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.73%E -5.10%K -21.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.72%E -0.513%K -0.731%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 23:59
BetOnline.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -2.01%E -0.602%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 23:34
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 00:09
Parions Sport (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 23:49
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 19:35
Coolbet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 23:53
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 23:43
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 23:44
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 19:35
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 23:55
Marathon Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 19:35
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 21:39
Fliff1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 23:55
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 23:59
Dabble (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 00:09
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.19%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 23:59
MyBookie.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -3.48%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 21:44
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 70.32%EV -2.49%E -1.80%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.68%EV -4.07%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 00:00
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 23:44
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 23:35
Codere (IT)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 19:40
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 23:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 23:59
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 23:54
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 19:40
Tipico (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 23:59
NetBet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -7.43%E -5.67%K -23.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 23:48
Winamax (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -1.07%E -0.766%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-06 23:59
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -1.07%E -0.766%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-06 23:58
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 00:10
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.73%E -5.10%K -21.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 23:49
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.49%E -1.80%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 00:00
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 23:35
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 00:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 23:39
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.49%E -1.80%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.52%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 23:54
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.49%E -1.80%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.52%E -3.45%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 23:55
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 23:34
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 00:04
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 23:59
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.78%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.22%EV -14.04%E -4.79%K -7.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 00:05
Winamax (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.80%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -17.85%E -6.38%K -9.92%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-07 00:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.38I 72.46%NM 72.40%3.62I 27.62%NM 27.60%0.1%2026-03-07 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-03-07 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-03-07 00:04
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-03-07 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-03-07 00:09
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-03-06 19:40
Polymarket1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-03-07 00:05
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-03-07 00:10
Novig1.38I 72.46%NM 71.49%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.51%1.4%2026-03-07 00:10
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-03-07 00:04