Language:English
Charlotte Hornets v Miami Heat
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Charlotte Hornets (Local)
Prediction 63.89%1.57fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -4.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.82%63.95%63.80%66.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.491.491.5369.93%67.16%67.11%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Heat (Visit)
Prediction 36.11%2.77fair odd
EV +2.91%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +1.57%
Growth +0.046%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.57%36.05%36.20%37.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.662.652.8540.82%37.65%37.74%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charlotte Hornets (Local): 63.89%; Miami Heat (Visit): 36.11%. For Miami Heat (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.91%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -7.99%E -5.55%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +2.91%E +1.02%K +1.57%G +0.046% | 4.5% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -7.99%E -5.55%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +2.91%E +1.02%K +1.57%G +0.046% | 4.5% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.705%E -0.256%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-17 23:08 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.705%E -0.256%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.705%E -0.256%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.705%E -0.256%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.705%E -0.256%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-17 23:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-17 23:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-17 23:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-17 23:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 23:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -2.24%E -1.47%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -3.23%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-17 23:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -3.23%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-17 22:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.12%EV -8.63%E -6.04%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.88%EV -3.59%E -1.35%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 23:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -3.95%E -1.49%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-17 22:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.24%E -1.47%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-17 23:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -2.88%E -1.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -2.88%E -1.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.52%E -2.33%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-17 22:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -2.24%E -1.47%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -4.68%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.52%E -2.33%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -4.68%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.52%E -2.33%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -4.68%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.24%E -1.47%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -5.04%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.04%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -5.04%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -5.40%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-17 23:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -5.40%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-17 23:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -5.40%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 22:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.99%E -5.55%K -18.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.86%EV -6.72%E -4.60%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.84%E -2.65%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-17 23:03 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.36%E -5.07%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.36%E -5.07%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -11.54%E -4.71%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-17 23:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94% | 0.1% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 0.2% | 2026-03-17 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11% | 0.3% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81% | 1.2% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.10% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.90% | 1.3% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98% | 1.4% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.8% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85% | 2.6% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85% | 2.6% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |