La escuela de los momios

Charlotte Hornets v Miami Heat

Inicio: 2026-03-17 23:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Charlotte Hornets (Local)

Predicción 63.89%1.57momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -1.47%
Kelly -4.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.82%63.95%63.80%66.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.491.491.5369.93%67.16%67.11%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Miami Heat (Visitante)

Predicción 36.11%2.77momio equitativo
EV +2.91%
Ventaja +1.02%
Kelly +1.57%
Crecimiento +0.046%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.57%36.05%36.20%37.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.662.652.8540.82%37.65%37.74%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -7.99%E -5.55%K -18.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +2.91%E +1.02%K +1.57%G +0.046%4.5%2026-03-17 23:10
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -7.99%E -5.55%K -18.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +2.91%E +1.02%K +1.57%G +0.046%4.5%2026-03-17 23:10
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.705%E -0.256%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 23:08
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.705%E -0.256%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 23:10
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.705%E -0.256%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 23:10
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.705%E -0.256%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 23:10
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.705%E -0.256%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 23:09
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 23:09
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 23:09
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 23:09
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
Betr (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
Dabble (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 23:10
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 23:09
Fliff1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 23:10
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -2.24%E -1.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -3.23%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-17 23:09
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -3.23%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 22:59
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.12%EV -8.63%E -6.04%K -20.08%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.88%EV -3.59%E -1.35%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 23:00
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -3.95%E -1.49%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 22:59
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.24%E -1.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-17 23:09
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -2.88%E -1.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -2.88%E -1.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 23:10
theScore Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.52%E -2.33%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 23:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 22:59
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 23:10
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 23:10
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 23:10
Codere (IT)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 23:00
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 23:10
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 23:10
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 23:10
Bally Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 23:10
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 23:10
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 23:10
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 23:10
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -2.24%E -1.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -4.68%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-17 23:10
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.52%E -2.33%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -4.68%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 23:10
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.52%E -2.33%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -4.68%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.24%E -1.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -5.04%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-17 23:10
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.04%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -5.04%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 23:10
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -5.40%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-17 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -5.40%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-17 23:09
Paddy Power1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -5.40%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 23:10
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 22:59
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 23:10
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 23:10
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 23:10
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 23:10
MyBookie.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 23:00
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.99%E -5.55%K -18.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 63.86%EV -6.72%E -4.60%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.84%E -2.65%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 23:03
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 23:10
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.36%E -5.07%K -16.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.36%E -5.07%K -16.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -11.54%E -4.71%K -7.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 23:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94%0.1%2026-03-17 23:10
BetOpenly1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-03-17 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%0.3%2026-03-17 23:10
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-03-17 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.2%2026-03-17 23:10
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 64.10%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.90%1.3%2026-03-17 23:10
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.4%2026-03-17 23:10
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-03-17 23:10
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%2.6%2026-03-17 23:10
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%2.6%2026-03-17 23:10