L’École des cotes

Charlotte Hornets v Miami Heat

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-17 23:11 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Charlotte Hornets (Local)

Prévision 63.89%1.57cote équitable
EV -2.24%
Avantage -1.47%
Kelly -4.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.82%63.95%63.80%66.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.431.491.491.5369.93%67.16%67.11%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Miami Heat (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.11%2.77cote équitable
EV +2.91%
Avantage +1.02%
Kelly +1.57%
Croissance +0.046%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.57%36.05%36.20%37.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.662.652.8540.82%37.65%37.74%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -7.99%E -5.55%K -18.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +2.91%E +1.02%K +1.57%G +0.046%4.5%2026-03-17 23:10
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -7.99%E -5.55%K -18.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +2.91%E +1.02%K +1.57%G +0.046%4.5%2026-03-17 23:10
Coolbet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.705%E -0.256%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 23:08
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.705%E -0.256%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 23:10
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.705%E -0.256%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 23:10
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.705%E -0.256%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 23:10
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.705%E -0.256%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 23:09
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 23:09
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 23:09
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 23:09
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
Betr (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
Dabble (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 23:10
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 23:09
Fliff1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.51%E -0.930%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 23:10
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -2.24%E -1.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -3.23%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-17 23:09
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -3.23%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 22:59
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.12%EV -8.63%E -6.04%K -20.08%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.88%EV -3.59%E -1.35%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 23:00
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -3.95%E -1.49%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 22:59
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.24%E -1.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-17 23:09
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -2.88%E -1.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -2.88%E -1.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 23:10
theScore Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.52%E -2.33%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 23:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 22:59
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 23:10
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 23:10
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 23:10
Codere (IT)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 23:00
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 23:10
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 23:10
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 23:10
Bally Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 23:10
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 23:10
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 23:10
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 23:10
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -2.24%E -1.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -4.68%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-17 23:10
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.52%E -2.33%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -4.68%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 23:10
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.52%E -2.33%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -4.68%E -1.77%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.24%E -1.47%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -5.04%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-17 23:10
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.04%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -5.04%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 23:10
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -5.40%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-17 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -5.44%E -3.67%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -5.40%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-17 23:09
Paddy Power1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -6.08%E -4.13%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -5.40%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 23:10
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 22:59
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 23:10
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 23:10
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 23:10
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 23:10
MyBookie.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 23:00
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.99%E -5.55%K -18.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.12%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 63.86%EV -6.72%E -4.60%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.84%E -2.65%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 23:03
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.16%E -2.77%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.80%E -3.22%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 23:10
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.36%E -5.07%K -16.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.36%E -5.07%K -16.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -11.54%E -4.71%K -7.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 23:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94%0.1%2026-03-17 23:10
BetOpenly1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-03-17 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%0.3%2026-03-17 23:10
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-03-17 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.2%2026-03-17 23:10
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 64.10%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.90%1.3%2026-03-17 23:10
ProphetX1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.4%2026-03-17 23:10
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-03-17 23:10
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%2.6%2026-03-17 23:10
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%2.6%2026-03-17 23:10