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Charlotte Hornets v Dallas Mavericks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Charlotte Hornets (Local)
Prediction 83.50%1.20fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -2.70%
Kelly -19.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.65%83.33%83.61%84.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.141.141.1690.09%87.90%87.72%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dallas Mavericks (Visit)
Prediction 16.50%6.06fair odd
EV +4.76%
Edge +0.749%
Kelly +0.889%
Growth +0.042%
assuming max odds 6.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.11%16.67%16.39%19.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.825.856.3521.05%17.17%17.09%15.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charlotte Hornets (Local): 83.50%; Dallas Mavericks (Visit): 16.50%. For Dallas Mavericks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.06. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.76%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.89%EV -5.64%E -4.99%K -43.40%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 15.11%EV +4.76%E +0.749%K +0.889%G +0.042% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +3.11%E +0.497%K +0.592%G +0.018% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.48%E -5.78%K -53.97%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +3.11%E +0.497%K +0.592%G +0.018% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.48%E -5.78%K -53.97%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +3.11%E +0.497%K +0.592%G +0.018% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.48%E -5.78%K -53.97%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +3.11%E +0.497%K +0.592%G +0.018% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.48%E -5.78%K -53.97%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +3.11%E +0.497%K +0.592%G +0.018% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.33%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 6.19I 16.16%NM 15.67%EV +2.12%E +0.342%K +0.408%G +0.009% | 3.1% | 2026-03-04 00:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.36%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.64%EV +1.46%E +0.237%K +0.283%G +0.004% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV +0.632%E +0.104%K +0.124%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 00:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -0.193%E -0.032%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 23:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 00:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.64%E -4.99%K -43.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.64%E -4.99%K -43.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.64%E -4.99%K -43.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 00:08 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.48%E -5.78%K -53.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.48%E -5.78%K -53.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.48%E -5.78%K -53.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.48%E -5.78%K -53.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.48%E -5.78%K -53.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.89%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 5.99I 16.69%NM 16.11%EV -1.18%E -0.198%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -2.67%E -0.452%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -2.67%E -0.452%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 00:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.64%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.36%EV -3.00%E -0.510%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.57%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.43%EV -3.49%E -0.597%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 00:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.57%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.43%EV -3.49%E -0.597%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 00:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -4.32%E -0.744%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -4.32%E -0.744%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.32%E -0.744%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.32%E -0.744%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.55%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 5.79I 17.27%NM 16.45%EV -4.48%E -0.774%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-03 23:58 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.64%E -4.99%K -43.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 23:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.64%E -4.99%K -43.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.64%E -4.99%K -43.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 00:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.64%E -4.99%K -43.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 23:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.64%E -4.99%K -43.40%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 23:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.48%E -5.78%K -53.97%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.31%E -6.59%K -66.47%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -3.14%E -2.70%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV -5.97%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.70%EV -7.31%E -6.59%K -66.47%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV -5.97%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-03 23:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -3.14%E -2.70%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -7.62%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.62%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.14%E -2.70%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.14%E -2.70%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 00:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -12.57%E -2.37%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -13.39%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -13.39%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -13.39%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -14.22%E -2.73%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 00:06 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -21.64%E -4.56%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-04 00:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.47% | 6.88I 14.53%NM 14.53% | 0.0% | 2026-03-03 23:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.04% | 7.09I 14.10%NM 13.96% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.2% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.2% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84% | 2.1% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84% | 2.1% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |