Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Charlotte Hornets v Dallas Mavericks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 00:11 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Charlotte Hornets (Local)

Prévision 83.50%1.20cote équitable
EV -3.14%
Avantage -2.70%
Kelly -19.60%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
80.65%83.33%83.61%84.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.111.141.141.1690.09%87.90%87.72%86.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Dallas Mavericks (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.50%6.06cote équitable
EV +4.76%
Avantage +0.749%
Kelly +0.889%
Croissance +0.042%

avec la cote maximale 6.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.11%16.67%16.39%19.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.755.825.856.3521.05%17.17%17.09%15.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Charlotte Hornets (Local) : 83.50% ; Dallas Mavericks (Visiteur) : 16.50%. Pour Dallas Mavericks (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.06. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.35, soit une espérance positive de +4.76%.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Fliff🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.89%EV -5.64%E -4.99%K -43.40%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.11%EV +4.76%E +0.749%K +0.889%G +0.042%4.2%2026-03-04 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +3.11%E +0.497%K +0.592%G +0.018%3.7%2026-03-04 00:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.48%E -5.78%K -53.97%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +3.11%E +0.497%K +0.592%G +0.018%5.3%2026-03-04 00:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.48%E -5.78%K -53.97%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +3.11%E +0.497%K +0.592%G +0.018%5.3%2026-03-04 00:10
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.48%E -5.78%K -53.97%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +3.11%E +0.497%K +0.592%G +0.018%5.3%2026-03-04 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.48%E -5.78%K -53.97%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +3.11%E +0.497%K +0.592%G +0.018%5.3%2026-03-04 00:10
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.33%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.67%EV +2.12%E +0.342%K +0.408%G +0.009%3.1%2026-03-04 00:09
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.36%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.64%EV +1.46%E +0.237%K +0.283%G +0.004%4.0%2026-03-04 00:10
Coolbet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV +0.632%E +0.104%K +0.124%G +0.001%4.1%2026-03-04 00:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -0.193%E -0.032%K -0.038%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 23:59
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:10
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:09
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:10
TABtouch🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:10
BetAnything🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:10
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:10
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.64%E -4.99%K -43.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.64%E -4.99%K -43.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 00:10
Bovada🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.64%E -4.99%K -43.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 00:08
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.48%E -5.78%K -53.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:10
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.48%E -5.78%K -53.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.48%E -5.78%K -53.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.48%E -5.78%K -53.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.48%E -5.78%K -53.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.89%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.99I 16.69%NM 16.11%EV -1.18%E -0.198%K -0.237%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 00:10
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -2.67%E -0.452%K -0.544%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 00:10
GTbets🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -2.67%E -0.452%K -0.544%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 00:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.64%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.36%EV -3.00%E -0.510%K -0.614%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 00:10
BetUS🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.57%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.43%EV -3.49%E -0.597%K -0.720%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 00:09
Everygame🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.57%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.43%EV -3.49%E -0.597%K -0.720%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 00:09
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -4.32%E -0.744%K -0.899%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 00:00
TAB🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -4.32%E -0.744%K -0.899%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.32%E -0.744%K -0.899%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 00:10
Neds🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.32%E -0.744%K -0.899%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.55%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.45%EV -4.48%E -0.774%K -0.936%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 23:58
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:10
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:10
Bet Right🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:10
888sport🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.64%E -4.99%K -43.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 23:59
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.64%E -4.99%K -43.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.64%E -4.99%K -43.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 00:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.64%E -4.99%K -43.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 23:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.64%E -4.99%K -43.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 23:59
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.48%E -5.78%K -53.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 00:10
LeoVegas🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.31%E -6.59%K -66.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 00:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -3.14%E -2.70%K -19.60%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV -5.97%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 00:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.70%EV -7.31%E -6.59%K -66.47%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV -5.97%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-03 23:59
Bet Victor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -3.14%E -2.70%K -19.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -7.62%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 00:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.62%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.14%E -2.70%K -19.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:10
PlayUp🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.14%E -2.70%K -19.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:10
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 00:00
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 00:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -12.57%E -2.37%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 00:10
NordicBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -13.39%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:10
Betsson🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -13.39%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -13.39%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -14.22%E -2.73%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 00:06
Betclic (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -21.64%E -4.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 00:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.17I 85.47%NM 85.47%6.88I 14.53%NM 14.53%0.0%2026-03-03 23:59
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-03-04 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-03-04 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-03-04 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-03-04 00:10
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 86.04%7.09I 14.10%NM 13.96%1.1%2026-03-04 00:10
Polymarket1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-03-04 00:10
Kalshi1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-03-04 00:10
Smarkets1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84%2.1%2026-03-04 00:10
ProphetX1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84%2.1%2026-03-04 00:10