La escuela de los momios

Charlotte Hornets v Dallas Mavericks

Inicio: 2026-03-04 00:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Charlotte Hornets (Local)

Predicción 83.50%1.20momio equitativo
EV -3.14%
Ventaja -2.70%
Kelly -19.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
80.65%83.33%83.61%84.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.111.141.141.1690.09%87.90%87.72%86.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dallas Mavericks (Visitante)

Predicción 16.50%6.06momio equitativo
EV +4.76%
Ventaja +0.749%
Kelly +0.889%
Crecimiento +0.042%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.11%16.67%16.39%19.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.755.825.856.3521.05%17.17%17.09%15.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Fliff1.13I 88.50%NM 84.89%EV -5.64%E -4.99%K -43.40%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.11%EV +4.76%E +0.749%K +0.889%G +0.042%4.2%2026-03-04 00:10
Svenska Spel1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +3.11%E +0.497%K +0.592%G +0.018%3.7%2026-03-04 00:10
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.48%E -5.78%K -53.97%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +3.11%E +0.497%K +0.592%G +0.018%5.3%2026-03-04 00:10
Unibet (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.48%E -5.78%K -53.97%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +3.11%E +0.497%K +0.592%G +0.018%5.3%2026-03-04 00:10
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.48%E -5.78%K -53.97%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +3.11%E +0.497%K +0.592%G +0.018%5.3%2026-03-04 00:10
ATG (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.48%E -5.78%K -53.97%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +3.11%E +0.497%K +0.592%G +0.018%5.3%2026-03-04 00:10
Pinnacle1.15I 86.96%NM 84.33%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.67%EV +2.12%E +0.342%K +0.408%G +0.009%3.1%2026-03-04 00:09
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.36%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.64%EV +1.46%E +0.237%K +0.283%G +0.004%4.0%2026-03-04 00:10
Coolbet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV +0.632%E +0.104%K +0.124%G +0.001%4.1%2026-03-04 00:09
Marathon Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -0.193%E -0.032%K -0.038%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 23:59
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:10
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:09
BetMGM1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:10
TABtouch1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:10
BetAnything1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:10
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:10
Bally Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:10
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.64%E -4.99%K -43.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 00:10
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.64%E -4.99%K -43.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 00:10
Bovada1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.64%E -4.99%K -43.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 00:08
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.48%E -5.78%K -53.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:10
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.48%E -5.78%K -53.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:10
Tipico (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.48%E -5.78%K -53.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.48%E -5.78%K -53.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:10
Dabble (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.48%E -5.78%K -53.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -1.02%E -0.170%K -0.204%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:10
LowVig.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.89%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.99I 16.69%NM 16.11%EV -1.18%E -0.198%K -0.237%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 00:10
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -2.67%E -0.452%K -0.544%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 00:10
GTbets1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -2.67%E -0.452%K -0.544%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 00:09
BetOnline.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.64%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.36%EV -3.00%E -0.510%K -0.614%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 00:10
BetUS1.15I 86.96%NM 83.57%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.43%EV -3.49%E -0.597%K -0.720%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 00:09
Everygame1.15I 86.96%NM 83.57%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.43%EV -3.49%E -0.597%K -0.720%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 00:09
Parions Sport (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -4.32%E -0.744%K -0.899%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 00:00
TAB1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -4.32%E -0.744%K -0.899%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.32%E -0.744%K -0.899%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 00:10
Neds1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -4.32%E -0.744%K -0.899%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 00:10
MyBookie.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.55%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.45%EV -4.48%E -0.774%K -0.936%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 23:58
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:10
Fanatics1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:10
Bet Right1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:10
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:10
888sport1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.64%E -4.99%K -43.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 23:59
Coral1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.64%E -4.99%K -43.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.64%E -4.99%K -43.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 00:09
888sport (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.64%E -4.99%K -43.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 23:59
Mr Green (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.64%E -4.99%K -43.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 23:59
BetRivers1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.48%E -5.78%K -53.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 00:10
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.31%E -6.59%K -66.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -5.14%E -0.894%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 00:10
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -3.14%E -2.70%K -19.60%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV -5.97%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 00:10
NetBet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.70%EV -7.31%E -6.59%K -66.47%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV -5.97%E -1.05%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-03 23:59
Bet Victor1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -3.14%E -2.70%K -19.60%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -7.62%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 00:10
Codere (IT)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.62%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 00:00
Unibet (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.14%E -2.70%K -19.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:10
PlayUp1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.14%E -2.70%K -19.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:10
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 00:00
Betway1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -9.27%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 00:09
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -12.57%E -2.37%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 00:10
NordicBet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -13.39%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:10
Betsson1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -13.39%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:10
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.97%E -3.45%K -26.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -13.39%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:10
Unibet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -14.22%E -2.73%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 00:06
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -4.81%E -4.22%K -34.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -21.64%E -4.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 00:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.17I 85.47%NM 85.47%6.88I 14.53%NM 14.53%0.0%2026-03-03 23:59
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-03-04 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-03-04 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-03-04 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-03-04 00:10
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 86.04%7.09I 14.10%NM 13.96%1.1%2026-03-04 00:10
Polymarket1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-03-04 00:10
Kalshi1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-03-04 00:10
Smarkets1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84%2.1%2026-03-04 00:10
ProphetX1.15I 86.96%NM 85.16%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.84%2.1%2026-03-04 00:10