Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Celtics v Phoenix Suns

Kickoff: 2026-03-16 23:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Celtics (Local)

Prediction 76.38%1.31fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -2.36%
Kelly -11.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.00%76.32%76.42%78.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.251.251.2782.64%80.16%80.00%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Phoenix Suns (Visit)

Prediction 23.62%4.23fair odd
EV +2.76%
Edge +0.635%
Kelly +0.824%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.90%23.68%23.58%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.054.054.3527.40%24.72%24.69%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Celtics (Local): 76.38%; Phoenix Suns (Visit): 23.62%. For Phoenix Suns (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.23. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.76%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +2.76%E +0.635%K +0.824%G +0.023%5.0%2026-03-16 23:35
Fliff🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +2.76%E +0.635%K +0.824%G +0.023%5.0%2026-03-16 22:50
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV +1.58%E +0.367%K +0.479%G +0.008%3.3%2026-03-16 22:05
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 77.08%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.92%EV +0.871%E +0.204%K +0.266%G +0.002%2.2%2026-03-16 22:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +0.398%E +0.094%K +0.123%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-16 22:45
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.01%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.99%EV -0.310%E -0.074%K -0.096%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-16 23:30
ReBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -0.783%E -0.186%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 22:05
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -0.783%E -0.186%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 23:10
Caesars🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.29%E -4.27%K -22.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.783%E -0.186%K -0.245%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-16 18:24
Everygame🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.29%E -4.27%K -22.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.783%E -0.186%K -0.245%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-16 03:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.71%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.29%EV -1.96%E -0.473%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-16 18:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -1.96%E -0.473%K -0.623%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 23:05
BetAnything🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -1.96%E -0.473%K -0.623%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 20:39
BetUS🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.58%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42%EV -2.67%E -0.649%K -0.857%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-16 18:40
Bet Victor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-16 23:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 23:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 23:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 23:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 23:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 18:25
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-16 23:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-16 17:29
GTbets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-16 18:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-16 22:05
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-16 16:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.29%E -4.27%K -22.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 22:05
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.29%E -4.27%K -22.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 22:20
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-16 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-16 22:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-16 04:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -4.33%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-16 22:44
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.29%E -4.27%K -22.05%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -4.33%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 23:35
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.29%E -4.27%K -22.05%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -4.33%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 23:35
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-16 23:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-16 23:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-16 23:30
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-16 17:29
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 22:35
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 15:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:30
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:30
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:30
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:30
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:15
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:30
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:30
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-16 23:32
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.69%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 18:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.29%E -4.27%K -22.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.69%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-16 23:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -7.58%E -6.27%K -36.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -6.69%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 23:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.87%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:25
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.87%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.87%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-16 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.87%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-16 23:10
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.87%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-16 23:10
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.87%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-16 23:30
Bet Right🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -9.05%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 17:55
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.41%E -3.04%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-16 21:29
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.41%E -3.04%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-16 23:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.29%E -4.27%K -22.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.41%E -3.04%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-16 23:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.10%EV -7.58%E -6.27%K -36.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -13.78%E -3.77%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 23:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-03-16 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-03-16 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-03-16 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-03-16 23:20
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 77.70%4.46I 22.42%NM 22.30%0.5%2026-03-16 23:35
ProphetX1.28I 78.13%NM 77.66%4.45I 22.47%NM 22.34%0.6%2026-03-16 23:30
Polymarket1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-03-16 23:20
Smarkets1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-03-16 23:08
BetOpenly1.28I 78.13%NM 77.39%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.61%1.0%2026-03-16 23:29
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-03-16 22:35