La escuela de los momios

Boston Celtics v Phoenix Suns

Inicio: 2026-03-16 23:40 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Boston Celtics (Local)

Predicción 76.38%1.31momio equitativo
EV -3.00%
Ventaja -2.36%
Kelly -11.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.00%76.32%76.42%78.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.211.251.251.2782.64%80.16%80.00%78.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Phoenix Suns (Visitante)

Predicción 23.62%4.23momio equitativo
EV +2.76%
Ventaja +0.635%
Kelly +0.824%
Crecimiento +0.023%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.90%23.68%23.58%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.654.054.054.3527.40%24.72%24.69%22.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +2.76%E +0.635%K +0.824%G +0.023%5.0%2026-03-16 23:35
Fliff1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +2.76%E +0.635%K +0.824%G +0.023%5.0%2026-03-16 22:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV +1.58%E +0.367%K +0.479%G +0.008%3.3%2026-03-16 22:05
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 77.08%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.92%EV +0.871%E +0.204%K +0.266%G +0.002%2.2%2026-03-16 22:35
Dabble (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +0.398%E +0.094%K +0.123%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-16 22:45
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 77.01%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.99%EV -0.310%E -0.074%K -0.096%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-16 23:30
ReBet1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -0.783%E -0.186%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 22:05
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -0.783%E -0.186%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 23:10
Caesars1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.29%E -4.27%K -22.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.783%E -0.186%K -0.245%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-16 18:24
Everygame1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.29%E -4.27%K -22.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.783%E -0.186%K -0.245%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-16 03:00
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.71%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.29%EV -1.96%E -0.473%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-16 18:25
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -1.96%E -0.473%K -0.623%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 23:05
BetAnything1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -1.96%E -0.473%K -0.623%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 20:39
BetUS1.26I 79.37%NM 76.58%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42%EV -2.67%E -0.649%K -0.857%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-16 18:40
Bet Victor1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-16 23:34
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 23:30
Unibet (NL)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 23:30
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 23:30
Svenska Spel1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 23:30
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 18:25
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-16 23:35
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-16 17:29
GTbets1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-16 18:24
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-16 22:05
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-16 16:45
Codere (IT)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.29%E -4.27%K -22.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 22:05
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.29%E -4.27%K -22.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 22:20
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-16 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-16 22:55
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-16 04:15
MyBookie.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -4.33%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-16 22:44
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.29%E -4.27%K -22.05%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -4.33%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 23:35
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.29%E -4.27%K -22.05%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -4.33%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 23:35
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-16 23:35
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-16 23:35
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-16 23:30
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-16 17:29
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 22:35
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 15:10
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:30
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:30
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:30
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:30
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:30
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:15
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:30
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:30
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:15
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-16 23:32
DraftKings1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.69%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 18:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.29%E -4.27%K -22.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.69%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-16 23:30
NetBet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -7.58%E -6.27%K -36.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -6.69%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 23:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.87%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:25
Neds1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.87%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:25
Winamax (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.87%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-16 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.87%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-16 23:10
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.87%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-16 23:10
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.87%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-16 23:30
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -9.05%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 17:55
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.41%E -3.04%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-16 21:29
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.41%E -3.04%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-16 23:30
Hard Rock Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.29%E -4.27%K -22.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.41%E -3.04%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-16 23:34
Betclic (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 75.10%EV -7.58%E -6.27%K -36.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -13.78%E -3.77%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 23:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-03-16 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-03-16 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-03-16 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-03-16 23:20
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 77.70%4.46I 22.42%NM 22.30%0.5%2026-03-16 23:35
ProphetX1.28I 78.13%NM 77.66%4.45I 22.47%NM 22.34%0.6%2026-03-16 23:30
Polymarket1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-03-16 23:20
Smarkets1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-03-16 23:08
BetOpenly1.28I 78.13%NM 77.39%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.61%1.0%2026-03-16 23:29
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-03-16 22:35