Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Celtics v Phoenix Suns

Início: 2026-03-16 23:40 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Celtics (Local)

Previsão 76.38%1.31odd justa
EV -3.00%
Vantagem -2.36%
Kelly -11.12%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.00%76.32%76.42%78.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.211.251.251.2782.64%80.16%80.00%78.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Phoenix Suns (Visitante)

Previsão 23.62%4.23odd justa
EV +2.76%
Vantagem +0.635%
Kelly +0.824%
Crescimento +0.023%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.90%23.68%23.58%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.654.054.054.3527.40%24.72%24.69%22.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Boston Celtics (Local): 76.38%; Phoenix Suns (Visitante): 23.62%. Para Phoenix Suns (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.23. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.35, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.76%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +2.76%E +0.635%K +0.824%G +0.023%5.0%2026-03-16 23:35
Fliff🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +2.76%E +0.635%K +0.824%G +0.023%5.0%2026-03-16 22:50
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV +1.58%E +0.367%K +0.479%G +0.008%3.3%2026-03-16 22:05
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 77.08%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.92%EV +0.871%E +0.204%K +0.266%G +0.002%2.2%2026-03-16 22:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +0.398%E +0.094%K +0.123%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-16 22:45
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.01%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.99%EV -0.310%E -0.074%K -0.096%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-16 23:30
ReBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -0.783%E -0.186%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 22:05
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -0.783%E -0.186%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 23:10
Caesars🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.29%E -4.27%K -22.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.783%E -0.186%K -0.245%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-16 18:24
Everygame🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.29%E -4.27%K -22.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.783%E -0.186%K -0.245%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-16 03:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.71%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.29%EV -1.96%E -0.473%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-16 18:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -1.96%E -0.473%K -0.623%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 23:05
BetAnything🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -1.96%E -0.473%K -0.623%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 20:39
BetUS🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.58%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.42%EV -2.67%E -0.649%K -0.857%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-16 18:40
Bet Victor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-16 23:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 23:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 23:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 23:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 23:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 18:25
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-16 23:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-16 17:29
GTbets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-16 18:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-16 22:05
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-16 16:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.29%E -4.27%K -22.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 22:05
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.29%E -4.27%K -22.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 22:20
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-16 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-16 22:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.15%E -0.767%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-16 04:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -4.33%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-16 22:44
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.29%E -4.27%K -22.05%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -4.33%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 23:35
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.29%E -4.27%K -22.05%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -4.33%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 23:35
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-16 23:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-16 23:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-16 23:30
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-16 17:29
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 22:35
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 15:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:30
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:30
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:30
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:30
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:15
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:30
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:30
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.51%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-16 23:32
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.00%E -2.36%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.69%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 18:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.29%E -4.27%K -22.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.69%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-16 23:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -7.58%E -6.27%K -36.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -6.69%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 23:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.87%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:25
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.87%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.87%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-16 23:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.87%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-16 23:10
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -7.87%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-16 23:10
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.82%E -5.59%K -31.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.87%E -2.02%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-16 23:30
Bet Right🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.77%E -2.99%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -9.05%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 17:55
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.41%E -3.04%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-16 21:29
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.53%E -3.62%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -11.41%E -3.04%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-16 23:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.29%E -4.27%K -22.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -11.41%E -3.04%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-16 23:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.10%EV -7.58%E -6.27%K -36.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -13.78%E -3.77%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 23:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-03-16 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-03-16 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-03-16 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-03-16 23:20
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 77.70%4.46I 22.42%NM 22.30%0.5%2026-03-16 23:35
ProphetX1.28I 78.13%NM 77.66%4.45I 22.47%NM 22.34%0.6%2026-03-16 23:30
Polymarket1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-03-16 23:20
Smarkets1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-03-16 23:08
BetOpenly1.28I 78.13%NM 77.39%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.61%1.0%2026-03-16 23:29
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-03-16 22:35