Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Celtics v Philadelphia 76ers

Kickoff: 2026-04-21 23:13 UTC

Final: Boston Celtics 97–111 Philadelphia 76ers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Celtics (Local)

Prediction 85.82%1.17fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -2.68%
Kelly -23.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.15%85.75%85.80%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.111.121.1393.46%89.80%89.29%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia 76ers (Visit)

Prediction 14.18%7.05fair odd
EV +13.45%
Edge +1.68%
Kelly +1.92%
Growth +0.258%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.28%14.25%14.20%15.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.806.636.758.0017.24%15.09%14.81%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Celtics (Local): 85.82%; Philadelphia 76ers (Visit): 14.18%. For Philadelphia 76ers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.05. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.45%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%EV +13.45%E +1.68%K +1.92%G +0.258%1.8%2026-04-21 23:10
BetAnything🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +2.81%E +0.388%K +0.450%G +0.013%3.9%2026-04-21 23:10
Coolbet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV +2.10%E +0.292%K +0.339%G +0.007%4.0%2026-04-21 23:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -7.32%E -6.77%K -91.45%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV +2.10%E +0.292%K +0.339%G +0.007%6.5%2026-04-21 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -0.732%E -0.105%K -0.122%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-21 23:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.732%E -0.105%K -0.122%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 23:10
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.732%E -0.105%K -0.122%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 23:10
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.732%E -0.105%K -0.122%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.732%E -0.105%K -0.122%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 23:10
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.60%E -5.09%K -55.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.732%E -0.105%K -0.122%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 22:59
William Hill🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.60%E -5.09%K -55.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.732%E -0.105%K -0.122%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 23:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.60%E -5.09%K -55.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.732%E -0.105%K -0.122%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 22:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.60%E -5.09%K -55.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.732%E -0.105%K -0.122%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 22:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.46%E -5.92%K -71.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -0.732%E -0.105%K -0.122%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 23:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.19%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%6.93I 14.43%NM 13.81%EV -1.72%E -0.249%K -0.291%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.03%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.97%EV -2.15%E -0.312%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.03%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.97%EV -2.15%E -0.312%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 22:58
Pinnacle🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.80%EV -3.02%E -2.68%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.83I 14.64%NM 14.20%EV -3.14%E -0.460%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 23:04
Neds🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -3.57%E -0.525%K -0.615%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -3.57%E -0.525%K -0.615%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.68%EV -3.02%E -2.68%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.76I 14.79%NM 14.32%EV -4.14%E -0.612%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-21 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.28%E -0.634%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.28%E -0.634%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.28%E -0.634%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:10
GTbets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.28%E -0.634%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.28%E -0.634%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.28%E -0.634%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.28%E -0.634%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.28%E -0.634%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.28%E -0.634%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:10
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.28%E -0.634%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 23:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.32%EV -8.17%E -7.64%K -116.77%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -4.28%E -0.634%K -0.744%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 23:01
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -6.26%E -0.947%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 23:10
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -6.40%E -0.970%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 22:59
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.02%E -2.68%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -7.82%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-21 23:08
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.82%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 23:10
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.82%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 23:05
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.82%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 23:10
Coral🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.60%E -5.09%K -55.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.82%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.60%E -5.09%K -55.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.82%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.60%E -5.09%K -55.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.82%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.60%E -5.09%K -55.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.82%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 23:10
Fliff🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -3.02%E -2.68%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -9.24%E -1.44%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:10
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.24%E -1.44%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 23:10
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.24%E -1.44%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 23:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.24%E -1.44%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 23:00
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.24%E -1.44%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 23:10
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.24%E -1.44%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 23:10
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.02%E -2.68%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -11.37%E -1.82%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 23:10
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -11.37%E -1.82%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -11.37%E -1.82%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -11.37%E -1.82%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -11.37%E -1.82%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -11.37%E -1.82%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 23:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -5.60%E -5.09%K -55.99%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -13.49%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 23:10
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.02%E -2.68%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -14.91%E -2.49%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 23:10
Bet Right🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.02%E -2.68%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -14.91%E -2.49%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 23:10
NordicBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.02%E -2.68%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -14.91%E -2.49%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 23:10
Betsson🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.02%E -2.68%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -14.91%E -2.49%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 23:10
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.91%E -2.49%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -6.46%E -5.92%K -71.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -14.91%E -2.49%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 23:10
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.30%EV -7.32%E -6.77%K -91.45%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.70%EV -17.75%E -3.06%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 23:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-04-21 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-04-21 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-04-21 23:10
Kalshi1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-04-21 23:10
Polymarket1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-04-21 23:10
ProphetX1.13I 88.50%NM 87.76%8.10I 12.35%NM 12.24%0.8%2026-04-21 23:10
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 87.70%8.06I 12.41%NM 12.30%0.9%2026-04-21 23:10
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-04-21 23:10
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%1.8%2026-04-21 23:10
BetOpenly1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%3.8%2026-04-21 22:59