默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Boston Celtics v Philadelphia 76ers

开赛时间: 2026-04-21 23:13 UTC

最终结果: Boston Celtics 97–111 Philadelphia 76ers

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

62 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Boston Celtics (主队)

预测 85.82%1.17公平赔率
EV -3.02%
优势 -2.68%
Kelly -23.27%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.13

博彩公司预测分布
84.15%85.75%85.80%87.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.071.111.121.1393.46%89.80%89.29%88.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

Philadelphia 76ers (客队)

预测 14.18%7.05公平赔率
EV +13.45%
优势 +1.68%
Kelly +1.92%
增长率 +0.258%

假设最高赔率为 8.00

博彩公司预测分布
12.28%14.25%14.20%15.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.806.636.758.0017.24%15.09%14.81%12.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Boston Celtics (主队):85.82%;Philadelphia 76ers (客队):14.18%。 对于“Philadelphia 76ers (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.05。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为8.00,对应+13.45%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%EV +13.45%E +1.68%K +1.92%G +0.258%1.8%2026-04-21 23:10
BetAnything🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +2.81%E +0.388%K +0.450%G +0.013%3.9%2026-04-21 23:10
Coolbet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV +2.10%E +0.292%K +0.339%G +0.007%4.0%2026-04-21 23:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -7.32%E -6.77%K -91.45%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV +2.10%E +0.292%K +0.339%G +0.007%6.5%2026-04-21 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -0.732%E -0.105%K -0.122%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-21 23:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.732%E -0.105%K -0.122%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 23:10
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.732%E -0.105%K -0.122%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 23:10
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.732%E -0.105%K -0.122%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.732%E -0.105%K -0.122%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 23:10
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.60%E -5.09%K -55.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.732%E -0.105%K -0.122%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 22:59
William Hill🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.60%E -5.09%K -55.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.732%E -0.105%K -0.122%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 23:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.60%E -5.09%K -55.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.732%E -0.105%K -0.122%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 22:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.60%E -5.09%K -55.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.732%E -0.105%K -0.122%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 22:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.46%E -5.92%K -71.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -0.732%E -0.105%K -0.122%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 23:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.19%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%6.93I 14.43%NM 13.81%EV -1.72%E -0.249%K -0.291%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.03%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.97%EV -2.15%E -0.312%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.03%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.97%EV -2.15%E -0.312%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 22:58
Pinnacle🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.80%EV -3.02%E -2.68%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.83I 14.64%NM 14.20%EV -3.14%E -0.460%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 23:04
Neds🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -3.57%E -0.525%K -0.615%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -3.57%E -0.525%K -0.615%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.68%EV -3.02%E -2.68%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.76I 14.79%NM 14.32%EV -4.14%E -0.612%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-21 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.28%E -0.634%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.28%E -0.634%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.28%E -0.634%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:10
GTbets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.28%E -0.634%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.28%E -0.634%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.28%E -0.634%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.28%E -0.634%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.28%E -0.634%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.28%E -0.634%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:10
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.28%E -0.634%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 23:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.32%EV -8.17%E -7.64%K -116.77%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -4.28%E -0.634%K -0.744%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 23:01
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -6.26%E -0.947%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 23:10
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -6.40%E -0.970%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 22:59
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.02%E -2.68%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -7.82%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-21 23:08
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.82%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 23:10
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.82%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 23:05
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.82%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 23:10
Coral🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.60%E -5.09%K -55.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.82%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.60%E -5.09%K -55.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.82%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.60%E -5.09%K -55.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.82%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.60%E -5.09%K -55.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.82%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 23:10
Fliff🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -3.02%E -2.68%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -9.24%E -1.44%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:10
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.24%E -1.44%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 23:10
Unibet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.24%E -1.44%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 23:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.24%E -1.44%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 23:00
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.24%E -1.44%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 23:10
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.24%E -1.44%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 23:10
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.02%E -2.68%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -11.37%E -1.82%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 23:10
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -11.37%E -1.82%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -11.37%E -1.82%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -11.37%E -1.82%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -11.37%E -1.82%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -11.37%E -1.82%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 23:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -5.60%E -5.09%K -55.99%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -13.49%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 23:10
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.02%E -2.68%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -14.91%E -2.49%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 23:10
Bet Right🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.02%E -2.68%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -14.91%E -2.49%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 23:10
NordicBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.02%E -2.68%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -14.91%E -2.49%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 23:10
Betsson🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.02%E -2.68%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -14.91%E -2.49%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 23:10
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.91%E -2.49%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -6.46%E -5.92%K -71.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -14.91%E -2.49%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 23:10
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.30%EV -7.32%E -6.77%K -91.45%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.70%EV -17.75%E -3.06%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 23:10
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-04-21 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-04-21 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-04-21 23:10
Kalshi1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-04-21 23:10
Polymarket1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-04-21 23:10
ProphetX1.13I 88.50%NM 87.76%8.10I 12.35%NM 12.24%0.8%2026-04-21 23:10
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 87.70%8.06I 12.41%NM 12.30%0.9%2026-04-21 23:10
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-04-21 23:10
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%1.8%2026-04-21 23:10
BetOpenly1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%3.8%2026-04-21 22:59