La escuela de los momios

Boston Celtics v Philadelphia 76ers

Inicio: 2026-04-21 23:13 UTC

Final: Boston Celtics 97–111 Philadelphia 76ers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Boston Celtics (Local)

Predicción 85.82%1.17momio equitativo
EV -3.02%
Ventaja -2.68%
Kelly -23.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
84.15%85.75%85.80%87.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.071.111.121.1393.46%89.80%89.29%88.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Philadelphia 76ers (Visitante)

Predicción 14.18%7.05momio equitativo
EV +13.45%
Ventaja +1.68%
Kelly +1.92%
Crecimiento +0.258%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.28%14.25%14.20%15.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.806.636.758.0017.24%15.09%14.81%12.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
theScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%EV +13.45%E +1.68%K +1.92%G +0.258%1.8%2026-04-21 23:10
BetAnything1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV +2.81%E +0.388%K +0.450%G +0.013%3.9%2026-04-21 23:10
Coolbet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV +2.10%E +0.292%K +0.339%G +0.007%4.0%2026-04-21 23:10
Tipico (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -7.32%E -6.77%K -91.45%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV +2.10%E +0.292%K +0.339%G +0.007%6.5%2026-04-21 23:10
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -0.732%E -0.105%K -0.122%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-21 23:09
PointsBet (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.732%E -0.105%K -0.122%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 23:10
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.732%E -0.105%K -0.122%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 23:10
Caesars1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.732%E -0.105%K -0.122%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 23:10
Betr (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.732%E -0.105%K -0.122%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 23:10
888sport1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.60%E -5.09%K -55.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.732%E -0.105%K -0.122%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 22:59
William Hill1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.60%E -5.09%K -55.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.732%E -0.105%K -0.122%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 23:10
888sport (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.60%E -5.09%K -55.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.732%E -0.105%K -0.122%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 22:59
Mr Green (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.60%E -5.09%K -55.99%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.732%E -0.105%K -0.122%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 22:59
Dabble (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.46%E -5.92%K -71.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -0.732%E -0.105%K -0.122%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 23:09
MyBookie.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 86.19%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%6.93I 14.43%NM 13.81%EV -1.72%E -0.249%K -0.291%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 23:00
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 86.03%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.97%EV -2.15%E -0.312%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 86.03%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.97%EV -2.15%E -0.312%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 22:58
Pinnacle1.13I 88.50%NM 85.80%EV -3.02%E -2.68%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.83I 14.64%NM 14.20%EV -3.14%E -0.460%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 23:04
Neds1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -3.57%E -0.525%K -0.615%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -3.57%E -0.525%K -0.615%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 23:10
LowVig.ag1.13I 88.50%NM 85.68%EV -3.02%E -2.68%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.76I 14.79%NM 14.32%EV -4.14%E -0.612%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-21 23:10
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.28%E -0.634%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.28%E -0.634%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.28%E -0.634%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:10
GTbets1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.28%E -0.634%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:10
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.28%E -0.634%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.28%E -0.634%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:10
ATG (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.28%E -0.634%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:10
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.28%E -0.634%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -4.28%E -0.634%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:10
BetMGM1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.28%E -0.634%K -0.744%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 23:09
NetBet (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 86.32%EV -8.17%E -7.64%K -116.77%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -4.28%E -0.634%K -0.744%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 23:01
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -6.26%E -0.947%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 23:10
ReBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -6.40%E -0.970%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 22:59
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.02%E -2.68%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -7.82%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-21 23:08
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.82%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 23:10
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.82%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 23:05
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.82%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 23:10
Coral1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.60%E -5.09%K -55.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.82%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.60%E -5.09%K -55.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.82%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 23:10
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.60%E -5.09%K -55.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.82%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.60%E -5.09%K -55.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.82%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 23:10
Fliff1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -3.02%E -2.68%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -9.24%E -1.44%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 23:10
TABtouch1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.24%E -1.44%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 23:10
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.24%E -1.44%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 23:10
Codere (IT)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.24%E -1.44%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 23:00
betPARX1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.24%E -1.44%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 23:10
Bally Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -9.24%E -1.44%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 23:10
PlayUp1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.02%E -2.68%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -11.37%E -1.82%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 23:10
BetRivers1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -11.37%E -1.82%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 23:10
LiveScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -11.37%E -1.82%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 23:10
Virgin Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -11.37%E -1.82%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -11.37%E -1.82%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.74%E -4.27%K -43.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -11.37%E -1.82%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 23:10
PMU (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -5.60%E -5.09%K -55.99%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -13.49%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 23:10
Sky Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.02%E -2.68%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -14.91%E -2.49%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 23:10
Bet Right1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.02%E -2.68%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -14.91%E -2.49%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 23:10
NordicBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.02%E -2.68%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -14.91%E -2.49%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 23:10
Betsson1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.02%E -2.68%K -23.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -14.91%E -2.49%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 23:10
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.88%E -3.47%K -32.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.91%E -2.49%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -6.46%E -5.92%K -71.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -14.91%E -2.49%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 23:10
LeoVegas1.08I 92.59%NM 84.30%EV -7.32%E -6.77%K -91.45%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.70%EV -17.75%E -3.06%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 23:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-04-21 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-04-21 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-04-21 23:10
Kalshi1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-04-21 23:10
Polymarket1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-04-21 23:10
ProphetX1.13I 88.50%NM 87.76%8.10I 12.35%NM 12.24%0.8%2026-04-21 23:10
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 87.70%8.06I 12.41%NM 12.30%0.9%2026-04-21 23:10
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-04-21 23:10
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%1.8%2026-04-21 23:10
BetOpenly1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%3.8%2026-04-21 22:59