Language:English
Boston Celtics v Minnesota Timberwolves
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Boston Celtics (Local)
Prediction 78.08%1.28fair odd
EV -0.835%
Edge -0.658%
Kelly -3.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.96%77.92%78.15%80.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.221.221.2784.75%82.05%81.97%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Minnesota Timberwolves (Visit)
Prediction 21.92%4.56fair odd
EV +8.49%
Edge +1.72%
Kelly +2.15%
Growth +0.183%
assuming max odds 4.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.51%22.08%21.85%24.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.404.404.9526.32%22.75%22.73%20.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Celtics (Local): 78.08%; Minnesota Timberwolves (Visit): 21.92%. For Minnesota Timberwolves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.56. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.49%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.49%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.51%EV +8.49%E +1.72%K +2.15%G +0.183% | 3.5% | 2026-03-23 00:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -5.52%E -4.56%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +4.11%E +0.865%K +1.10%G +0.045% | 3.7% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -5.52%E -4.56%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +4.11%E +0.865%K +1.10%G +0.045% | 3.7% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -5.52%E -4.56%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +4.11%E +0.865%K +1.10%G +0.045% | 3.7% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -5.52%E -4.56%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +4.11%E +0.865%K +1.10%G +0.045% | 3.7% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +4.11%E +0.865%K +1.10%G +0.045% | 4.4% | 2026-03-23 00:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.74%E -3.88%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +0.820%E +0.178%K +0.228%G +0.002% | 3.7% | 2026-03-22 23:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.820%E +0.178%K +0.228%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.820%E +0.178%K +0.228%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.820%E +0.178%K +0.228%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.820%E +0.178%K +0.228%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.820%E +0.178%K +0.228%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 23:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.820%E +0.178%K +0.228%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.820%E +0.178%K +0.228%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.820%E +0.178%K +0.228%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 23:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.08%E -5.95%K -37.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +0.820%E +0.178%K +0.228%G +0.002% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 00:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -4.74%E -3.88%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -0.276%E -0.061%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-23 00:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99%EV -5.52%E -4.56%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01%EV -0.276%E -0.061%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.96%E -3.22%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-23 00:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.74%E -3.88%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-22 23:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.74%E -3.88%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-23 00:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-23 00:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.86%E -6.66%K -43.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 23:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.74%E -3.88%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -2.47%E -0.554%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.74%E -3.88%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -2.47%E -0.554%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-23 00:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.31%EV -3.96%E -3.22%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.69%EV -2.69%E -0.605%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-23 00:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.13%EV -3.18%E -2.56%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.87%EV -2.91%E -0.656%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-23 00:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.82%EV -1.62%E -1.28%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 22.18%EV -3.12%E -0.707%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-22 20:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.96%E -3.22%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 23:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.96%E -3.22%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 23:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.96%E -3.22%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 23:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.96%E -3.22%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-23 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.74%E -3.88%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 23:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.74%E -3.88%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 00:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.74%E -3.88%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 23:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-23 00:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.74%E -3.88%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.66%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 23:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.10%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.10%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 23:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.10%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 23:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.10%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 23:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.18%E -2.56%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -5.76%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.18%E -2.56%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -5.76%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-22 23:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.18%E -2.56%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -5.76%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-22 23:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.18%E -2.56%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -5.76%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-23 00:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.18%E -2.56%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -5.76%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-22 23:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.18%E -2.56%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -5.76%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-22 23:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.08%E -5.95%K -37.27%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -5.76%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 23:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.99%EV -0.835%E -0.658%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 23.01%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-22 23:48 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.96%E -3.22%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 23:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.96%E -3.22%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 23:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.74%E -3.88%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 20:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.31%EV -3.96%E -3.22%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.69%EV -8.17%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 00:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.40%E -1.92%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 20:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.96%E -3.22%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-23 00:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.52%E -4.56%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 23:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.74%E -3.88%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 23:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.74%E -3.88%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-23 00:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.74%E -3.88%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 23:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.40%E -1.92%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -13.43%E -3.40%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 20:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.40%E -1.92%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -13.43%E -3.40%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 20:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-23 00:08 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.55% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.45% | -0.2% | 2026-03-22 23:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 0.2% | 2026-03-23 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 0.4% | 2026-03-23 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 0.4% | 2026-03-23 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 0.4% | 2026-03-23 00:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-03-23 00:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.0% | 2026-03-23 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-03-23 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-03-23 00:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 2.0% | 2026-03-22 23:50 |