La escuela de los momios

Boston Celtics v Minnesota Timberwolves

Inicio: 2026-03-23 00:12 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Boston Celtics (Local)

Predicción 78.08%1.28momio equitativo
EV -0.835%
Ventaja -0.658%
Kelly -3.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.96%77.92%78.15%80.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.181.221.221.2784.75%82.05%81.97%78.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Minnesota Timberwolves (Visitante)

Predicción 21.92%4.56momio equitativo
EV +8.49%
Ventaja +1.72%
Kelly +2.15%
Crecimiento +0.183%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.51%22.08%21.85%24.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.404.404.9526.32%22.75%22.73%20.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetUS1.20I 83.33%NM 80.49%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.51%EV +8.49%E +1.72%K +2.15%G +0.183%3.5%2026-03-23 00:09
Unibet (NL)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -5.52%E -4.56%K -26.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +4.11%E +0.865%K +1.10%G +0.045%3.7%2026-03-22 23:14
Unibet (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -5.52%E -4.56%K -26.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +4.11%E +0.865%K +1.10%G +0.045%3.7%2026-03-22 23:15
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -5.52%E -4.56%K -26.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +4.11%E +0.865%K +1.10%G +0.045%3.7%2026-03-22 23:14
Svenska Spel1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -5.52%E -4.56%K -26.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +4.11%E +0.865%K +1.10%G +0.045%3.7%2026-03-22 23:14
BetAnything1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +4.11%E +0.865%K +1.10%G +0.045%4.4%2026-03-23 00:04
FanDuel1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.74%E -3.88%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +0.820%E +0.178%K +0.228%G +0.002%3.7%2026-03-22 23:35
Unibet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.820%E +0.178%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-03-22 23:15
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.820%E +0.178%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-03-22 23:15
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.820%E +0.178%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-03-22 23:15
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.820%E +0.178%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-03-22 23:15
TABtouch1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.820%E +0.178%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-03-22 23:14
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.820%E +0.178%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-03-22 23:15
Bally Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.820%E +0.178%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-03-22 23:15
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.820%E +0.178%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-03-22 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.08%E -5.95%K -37.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +0.820%E +0.178%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.8%2026-03-23 00:09
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -4.74%E -3.88%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -0.276%E -0.061%K -0.078%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-23 00:05
Fliff1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99%EV -5.52%E -4.56%K -26.29%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01%EV -0.276%E -0.061%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 23:15
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.96%E -3.22%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-23 00:10
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.74%E -3.88%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 23:54
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.74%E -3.88%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 00:10
Dabble (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 00:09
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.86%E -6.66%K -43.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -1.37%E -0.305%K -0.392%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 23:15
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.74%E -3.88%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -2.47%E -0.554%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 23:09
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.74%E -3.88%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -2.47%E -0.554%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 00:09
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.31%EV -3.96%E -3.22%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.69%EV -2.69%E -0.605%K -0.781%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-23 00:10
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 78.13%EV -3.18%E -2.56%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.87%EV -2.91%E -0.656%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-23 00:05
1xBet1.26I 79.37%NM 77.82%EV -1.62%E -1.28%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 22.18%EV -3.12%E -0.707%K -0.914%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-22 20:39
Coolbet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.96%E -3.22%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 23:49
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.96%E -3.22%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 23:59
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.96%E -3.22%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 23:49
GTbets1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.96%E -3.22%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.74%E -3.88%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 23:59
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.74%E -3.88%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 00:00
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.74%E -3.88%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 23:55
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.56%E -0.810%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-23 00:00
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.74%E -3.88%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.66%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:55
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.10%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 23:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.10%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 23:54
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.10%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 23:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.10%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 23:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.18%E -2.56%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -5.76%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 23:09
Unibet (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.18%E -2.56%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -5.76%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 23:10
ReBet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.18%E -2.56%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -5.76%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.18%E -2.56%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -5.76%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-23 00:10
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.18%E -2.56%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -5.76%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 23:05
Everygame1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.18%E -2.56%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -5.76%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 23:54
NetBet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -7.08%E -5.95%K -37.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -5.76%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 23:55
Bet Victor1.27I 78.74%NM 76.99%EV -0.835%E -0.658%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.01%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-22 23:48
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -3.96%E -3.22%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -6.85%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 23:59
Codere (IT)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.96%E -3.22%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 23:10
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.74%E -3.88%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 20:39
MyBookie.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.31%EV -3.96%E -3.22%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.69%EV -8.17%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 00:00
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.40%E -1.92%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 20:39
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -3.96%E -3.22%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-23 00:09
Unibet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.52%E -4.56%K -26.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 23:54
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.74%E -3.88%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 23:09
Hard Rock Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.74%E -3.88%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-23 00:09
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.74%E -3.88%K -21.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 23:59
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.40%E -1.92%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -13.43%E -3.40%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 20:39
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.40%E -1.92%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -13.43%E -3.40%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 20:40
Betclic (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -6.30%E -5.25%K -31.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -16.71%E -4.40%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-23 00:08
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.26I 79.37%NM 79.55%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.45%-0.2%2026-03-22 23:59
ProphetX1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%0.2%2026-03-23 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-03-23 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-03-23 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%0.4%2026-03-23 00:10
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-03-23 00:09
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.0%2026-03-23 00:10
Polymarket1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-03-23 00:10
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-03-23 00:00
Kalshi1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%2.0%2026-03-22 23:50