The School of Odds
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Boston Celtics v Milwaukee Bucks

2026-11-05 00:40 UTC — NBA

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Celtics (Local)

Prediction 80.05%1.25fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -10.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.27%80.01%80.17%82.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.181.181.2289.29%84.68%84.75%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Bucks (Visit)

Prediction 19.95%5.01fair odd
EV +5.75%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.34%
Growth +0.077%

assuming max odds 5.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.96%19.99%19.83%23.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.734.805.3027.78%21.13%20.83%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Boston Celtics (Local): 80.05%; Milwaukee Bucks (Visit): 19.95%. For Milwaukee Bucks (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.01. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.30, producing a positive expected value of +5.75%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -7.14%E -6.16%K -44.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +5.75%E +1.08%K +1.34%G +0.077%5.1%2026-11-03 22:05
Fliff🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -5.54%E -4.70%K -30.80%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +2.75%E +0.535%K +0.663%G +0.018%4.2%2026-11-04 00:15
GTbets🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.54%E -4.70%K -30.80%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +1.76%E +0.344%K +0.428%G +0.008%4.4%2026-11-04 00:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.74%E -3.99%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.240%E -0.048%K -0.060%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-04 00:35
Coolbet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.74%E -3.99%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.240%E -0.048%K -0.060%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-03 22:14
TAB🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.74%E -3.99%K -24.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.240%E -0.048%K -0.060%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-03 23:28
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.54%E -4.70%K -30.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.240%E -0.048%K -0.060%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-03 21:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.54%E -4.70%K -30.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.240%E -0.048%K -0.060%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-03 21:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.54%E -4.70%K -30.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.240%E -0.048%K -0.060%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-03 21:50
Unibet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.54%E -4.70%K -30.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.240%E -0.048%K -0.060%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-03 21:55
betPARX🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.54%E -4.70%K -30.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.240%E -0.048%K -0.060%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-03 21:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.54%E -4.70%K -30.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.240%E -0.048%K -0.060%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-03 21:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.54%E -4.70%K -30.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.240%E -0.048%K -0.060%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-03 21:55
Bally Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.54%E -4.70%K -30.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.240%E -0.048%K -0.060%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-03 21:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.54%E -4.70%K -30.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.240%E -0.048%K -0.060%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-03 23:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.34%E -5.42%K -37.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.240%E -0.048%K -0.060%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-03 21:50
TABtouch🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.34%E -5.42%K -37.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.240%E -0.048%K -0.060%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-03 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.34%E -5.42%K -37.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.240%E -0.048%K -0.060%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-03 21:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.14%E -6.16%K -44.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.240%E -0.048%K -0.060%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-03 21:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.62%EV -4.74%E -3.99%K -24.96%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV -1.24%E -0.250%K -0.313%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-04 00:39
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.49%EV -4.74%E -3.99%K -24.96%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.51%EV -2.04%E -0.415%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-03 21:38
Fanatics🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.74%E -3.99%K -24.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.24%E -0.456%K -0.573%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-03 21:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -7.14%E -6.16%K -44.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -2.24%E -0.456%K -0.573%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-03 21:50
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.94%E -3.29%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -3.23%E -0.667%K -0.840%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-03 22:29
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.94%E -3.29%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -3.23%E -0.667%K -0.840%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-03 22:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.94%E -3.29%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.23%E -0.881%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-03 22:35
ReBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.74%E -3.99%K -24.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.23%E -0.881%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-04 00:35
William Hill🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.54%E -4.70%K -30.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.23%E -0.881%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 22:10
888sport🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.54%E -4.70%K -30.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.23%E -0.881%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 22:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.54%E -4.70%K -30.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.23%E -0.881%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 22:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.54%E -4.70%K -30.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.23%E -0.881%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 22:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.54%E -4.70%K -30.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.23%E -0.881%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 22:10
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.54%E -4.70%K -30.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.23%E -0.881%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 21:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.94%E -3.29%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.23%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-03 22:44
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.94%E -3.29%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.23%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-03 22:29
betfred_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.54%E -4.70%K -30.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.23%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 00:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.62%EV -9.55%E -8.45%K -73.43%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -6.23%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-03 21:50
1xBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.11%EV -2.34%E -1.92%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.89%EV -7.82%E -1.69%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-03 23:59
Caesars🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.14%E -2.60%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -8.22%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-03 22:30
Bet Right🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.94%E -3.29%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.22%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-03 22:35
PlayUp🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.94%E -3.29%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.22%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-03 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.54%E -4.70%K -30.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.22%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-03 22:30
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.54%E -4.70%K -30.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.22%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-03 22:30
picklebet_au🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.34%E -5.42%K -37.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.22%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-04 00:34
Betsson🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.34%E -5.42%K -37.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.22%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-03 22:25
NordicBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.34%E -5.42%K -37.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.22%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-03 22:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.34%E -1.92%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -10.22%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-03 22:20
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.94%E -3.29%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.22%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.94%E -3.29%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.22%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.94%E -3.29%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.22%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 21:50
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.94%E -3.29%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.22%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 22:05
betano_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.34%E -5.42%K -37.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.22%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-03 22:10
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.34%E -5.42%K -37.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.22%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-03 22:10
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.34%E -5.42%K -37.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.22%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-03 22:08
NetBet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -7.14%E -6.16%K -44.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.22%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-03 23:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.18%EV -6.34%E -5.42%K -37.32%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.82%EV -11.21%E -2.52%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-03 23:28
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.94%E -3.29%K -19.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -13.61%E -3.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-03 21:34
Codere (IT)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -7.14%E -6.16%K -44.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -16.20%E -3.86%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-03 22:10
LeoVegas🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -6.34%E -5.42%K -37.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -20.19%E -5.05%K -6.73%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-04 01:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 77.38%EV -8.75%E -7.67%K -62.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -22.19%E -5.69%K -7.65%G +0.000%13.4%2026-11-03 22:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 76.27%EV -10.35%E -9.24%K -86.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%EV -28.17%E -7.83%K -10.84%G +0.000%17.1%2026-11-03 22:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-11-04 00:00
Novig◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-11-04 01:00
ProphetX◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.22%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.78%1.4%2026-11-04 01:00
Kalshi◎1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63%2.0%2026-11-04 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%4.0%2026-11-04 00:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%4.0%2026-11-04 00:45
Matchbook◎1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%6.3%2026-11-04 00:40
Smarkets◎1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%7.9%2026-11-04 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 83.19%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.81%19.0%2026-11-04 00:55