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Boston Celtics v Milwaukee Bucks

2026-11-05 00:40 UTC — NBA

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Celtics (Local)

Predicción 80.18%1.25momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -1.79%
Kelly -9.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.27%80.10%80.27%82.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.121.181.181.2289.29%84.78%84.75%81.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Milwaukee Bucks (Visitante)

Predicción 19.82%5.04momio equitativo
EV +5.07%
Ventaja +0.956%
Kelly +1.18%
Crecimiento +0.060%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.96%19.90%19.73%23.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.604.744.805.3027.78%21.09%20.83%18.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Boston Celtics (Local): 80.18%; Milwaukee Bucks (Visitante): 19.82%. Para Milwaukee Bucks (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 5.04. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 5.30, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +5.07%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Bovada🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -7.00%E -6.03%K -43.72%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +5.07%E +0.956%K +1.18%G +0.060%5.1%2026-11-03 22:05
Fliff🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +1.10%E +0.216%K +0.269%G +0.003%4.4%2026-11-04 01:30
GTbets🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +1.10%E +0.216%K +0.269%G +0.003%4.4%2026-11-04 00:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.59%E -3.86%K -24.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-04 00:35
Coolbet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.59%E -3.86%K -24.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-03 22:14
TAB🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.59%E -3.86%K -24.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-03 23:28
Caesars🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-04 01:20
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-03 21:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-03 21:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-03 21:50
Unibet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-03 21:55
betPARX🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-03 21:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-03 21:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-03 21:55
Bally Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-03 21:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-03 23:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.19%E -5.29%K -36.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-03 21:50
TABtouch🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.19%E -5.29%K -36.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-03 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.19%E -5.29%K -36.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-03 21:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.00%E -6.03%K -43.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-03 21:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.62%EV -4.59%E -3.86%K -24.16%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV -1.87%E -0.378%K -0.474%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-04 00:39
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.49%EV -4.59%E -3.86%K -24.16%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.51%EV -2.67%E -0.543%K -0.682%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-03 21:38
Fanatics🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.59%E -3.86%K -24.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.86%E -0.584%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-03 21:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -7.00%E -6.03%K -43.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -2.86%E -0.584%K -0.734%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-03 21:50
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -3.85%E -0.795%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-03 22:29
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -3.85%E -0.795%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-03 22:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.85%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-03 22:35
ReBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.59%E -3.86%K -24.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.85%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-04 00:35
William Hill🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.85%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 22:10
888sport🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.85%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 22:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.85%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 22:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.85%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 22:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.85%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 22:10
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.85%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 21:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.84%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-03 22:44
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.84%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-03 22:29
betfred_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.84%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 00:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.62%EV -9.40%E -8.32%K -72.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -6.83%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-03 21:50
Bet Right🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.81%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-03 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.81%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-03 22:30
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.81%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-03 22:30
picklebet_au🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.19%E -5.29%K -36.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.81%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-04 00:34
Betsson🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.19%E -5.29%K -36.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.81%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-03 22:25
NordicBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.19%E -5.29%K -36.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.81%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-03 22:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.19%E -1.79%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-03 22:20
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 21:50
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 22:05
betano_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.19%E -5.29%K -36.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-03 22:10
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.19%E -5.29%K -36.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-03 22:10
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.19%E -5.29%K -36.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-03 22:08
NetBet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -7.00%E -6.03%K -43.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-03 23:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.18%EV -6.19%E -5.29%K -36.43%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.82%EV -11.78%E -2.65%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-03 23:28
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -14.16%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-03 21:34
Codere (IT)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -7.00%E -6.03%K -43.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -16.74%E -3.99%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-03 22:10
LeoVegas🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -6.19%E -5.29%K -36.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -20.70%E -5.18%K -6.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-04 01:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 77.38%EV -8.60%E -7.54%K -61.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -22.69%E -5.82%K -7.82%G +0.000%13.4%2026-11-03 22:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 76.27%EV -10.20%E -9.11%K -85.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%EV -28.63%E -7.95%K -11.01%G +0.000%17.1%2026-11-03 22:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-11-04 01:15
Polymarket◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-11-04 00:00
Novig◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-11-04 01:40
ProphetX◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.22%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.78%1.4%2026-11-04 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%4.0%2026-11-04 01:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%4.0%2026-11-04 00:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%4.0%2026-11-04 01:20
Matchbook◎1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%6.3%2026-11-04 00:40
Smarkets◎1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%7.0%2026-11-04 01:30