مدرسة الاحتمالاتodds.school
النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Boston Celtics v Milwaukee Bucks

2026-11-05 00:40 UTC — NBA

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Boston Celtics (المضيف)

التنبؤ 80.18%1.25السعر العادل
EV -2.19%
الأفضلية -1.79%
Kelly -9.93%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.22

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
76.27%80.10%80.27%82.04%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.121.181.181.2289.29%84.78%84.75%81.97%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Milwaukee Bucks (الضيف)

التنبؤ 19.82%5.04السعر العادل
EV +5.07%
الأفضلية +0.956%
Kelly +1.18%
النمو +0.060%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.96%19.90%19.73%23.73%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.744.805.3027.78%21.09%20.83%18.87%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

بالنسبة إلى سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩، يقدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ الاحتمالات الآتية: ⁨Boston Celtics (المضيف)⁩: ⁨80.18%⁩؛ ⁨Milwaukee Bucks (الضيف)⁩: ⁨19.82%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Milwaukee Bucks (الضيف)⁩، يعادل هذا التقدير سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨5.04⁩. تعرض 3 شركات مراهنات أسعارًا أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وأفضل سعر متاح هو ⁨5.30⁩، ما ينتج قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+5.07%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Bovada🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -7.00%E -6.03%K -43.72%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +5.07%E +0.956%K +1.18%G +0.060%5.1%2026-11-03 22:05
Fliff🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +1.10%E +0.216%K +0.269%G +0.003%4.4%2026-11-04 01:30
GTbets🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV +1.10%E +0.216%K +0.269%G +0.003%4.4%2026-11-04 00:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.59%E -3.86%K -24.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-04 00:35
Coolbet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.59%E -3.86%K -24.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-03 22:14
TAB🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.59%E -3.86%K -24.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-03 23:28
Caesars🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-04 01:20
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-03 21:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-03 21:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-03 21:50
Unibet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-03 21:55
betPARX🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-03 21:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-03 21:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-03 21:55
Bally Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-03 21:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-03 23:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.19%E -5.29%K -36.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-03 21:50
TABtouch🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.19%E -5.29%K -36.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-03 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.19%E -5.29%K -36.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-03 21:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.00%E -6.03%K -43.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -0.881%E -0.176%K -0.220%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-03 21:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.62%EV -4.59%E -3.86%K -24.16%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV -1.87%E -0.378%K -0.474%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-04 00:39
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.49%EV -4.59%E -3.86%K -24.16%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.51%EV -2.67%E -0.543%K -0.682%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-03 21:38
Fanatics🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.59%E -3.86%K -24.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -2.86%E -0.584%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-03 21:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -7.00%E -6.03%K -43.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -2.86%E -0.584%K -0.734%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-03 21:50
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -3.85%E -0.795%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-03 22:29
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -3.85%E -0.795%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-03 22:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.85%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-03 22:35
ReBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -4.59%E -3.86%K -24.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -4.85%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-04 00:35
William Hill🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.85%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 22:10
888sport🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.85%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 22:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.85%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 22:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.85%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 22:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.85%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 22:10
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.85%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 21:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.84%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-03 22:44
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.84%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-03 22:29
betfred_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.84%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 00:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.62%EV -9.40%E -8.32%K -72.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -6.83%E -1.45%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-03 21:50
Bet Right🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -8.81%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-03 22:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.81%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-03 22:30
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.39%E -4.57%K -29.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.81%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-03 22:30
picklebet_au🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.19%E -5.29%K -36.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.81%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-04 00:34
Betsson🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.19%E -5.29%K -36.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.81%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-03 22:25
NordicBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.19%E -5.29%K -36.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.81%E -1.92%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-03 22:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -2.19%E -1.79%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-03 22:20
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-04 00:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 21:50
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 22:05
betano_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.19%E -5.29%K -36.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-03 22:10
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.19%E -5.29%K -36.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-03 22:10
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.19%E -5.29%K -36.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-03 22:08
NetBet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -7.00%E -6.03%K -43.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-03 23:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.18%EV -6.19%E -5.29%K -36.43%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.82%EV -11.78%E -2.65%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-03 23:28
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -3.79%E -3.16%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -14.16%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-03 21:34
Codere (IT)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -7.00%E -6.03%K -43.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -16.74%E -3.99%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-03 22:10
LeoVegas🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -6.19%E -5.29%K -36.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -20.70%E -5.18%K -6.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-04 01:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 77.38%EV -8.60%E -7.54%K -61.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -22.69%E -5.82%K -7.82%G +0.000%13.4%2026-11-03 22:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 76.27%EV -10.20%E -9.11%K -85.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%EV -28.63%E -7.95%K -11.01%G +0.000%17.1%2026-11-03 22:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (9)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-11-04 01:15
Polymarket◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-11-04 00:00
Novig◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-11-04 01:40
ProphetX◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.22%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.78%1.4%2026-11-04 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%4.0%2026-11-04 01:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%4.0%2026-11-04 00:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%4.0%2026-11-04 01:20
Matchbook◎1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%6.3%2026-11-04 00:40
Smarkets◎1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%7.0%2026-11-04 01:30