Language:English
Žalgiris v Fenerbahce SK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Žalgiris (Local)
Prediction 51.96%1.92fair odd
EV -0.751%
Edge -0.393%
Kelly -0.825%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.98%52.00%54.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.831.831.9157.80%54.50%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fenerbahce SK (Visit)
Prediction 48.04%2.08fair odd
EV +0.878%
Edge +0.418%
Kelly +0.798%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.60%48.02%48.00%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.941.952.1054.64%51.46%51.28%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Žalgiris (Local): 51.96%; Fenerbahce SK (Visit): 48.04%. For Fenerbahce SK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.08. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.878%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -8.55%E -4.86%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV +0.878%E +0.418%K +0.798%G +0.007% | 4.4% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -4.39%E -2.39%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -2.96%E -1.47%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-08 16:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -4.39%E -2.39%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -2.96%E -1.47%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.43%E -2.98%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.93%E -1.96%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.43%E -2.98%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.93%E -1.96%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.03%E -4.53%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.93%E -1.96%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.10%E -5.84%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.93%E -1.96%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -3.87%E -2.09%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.89%E -2.47%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.43%E -2.98%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.89%E -2.47%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.43%E -2.98%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.89%E -2.47%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.43%E -2.98%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.89%E -2.47%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -8.03%E -4.53%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -4.89%E -2.47%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -8.55%E -4.86%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -5.85%E -2.98%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.83%E -1.51%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.83%E -1.51%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.83%E -1.51%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 16:47 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.87%E -2.09%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.87%E -2.09%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.87%E -2.09%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.87%E -2.09%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.751%E -0.393%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.32%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.751%E -0.393%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.32%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.751%E -0.393%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.32%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.751%E -0.393%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.32%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.751%E -0.393%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.32%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.751%E -0.393%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.32%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.25%E -4.32%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.25%E -4.32%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -1.79%E -0.947%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -9.21%E -4.87%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -2.31%E -1.23%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -9.69%E -5.15%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -2.31%E -1.23%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -9.69%E -5.15%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -2.09%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.13%E -6.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -11.13%E -6.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -11.13%E -6.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -11.13%E -6.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -12.09%E -6.61%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31% | 2.6% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.50% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.90% | 12.4% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |