语言:简体中文
Žalgiris v Fenerbahce SK
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Žalgiris (主队)
预测 51.96%1.92公平赔率
EV -0.751%
优势 -0.393%
Kelly -0.825%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.91
博彩公司预测分布
50.00%51.98%52.00%54.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.731.831.831.9157.80%54.50%54.64%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
Fenerbahce SK (客队)
预测 48.04%2.08公平赔率
EV +0.878%
优势 +0.418%
Kelly +0.798%
增长率 +0.007%
假设最高赔率为 2.10
博彩公司预测分布
45.60%48.02%48.00%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.941.952.1054.64%51.46%51.28%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Žalgiris (主队)：51.96%；Fenerbahce SK (客队)：48.04%。 对于“Fenerbahce SK (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.08。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.10，对应+0.878%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -8.55%E -4.86%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV +0.878%E +0.418%K +0.798%G +0.007% | 4.4% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -4.39%E -2.39%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -2.96%E -1.47%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-08 16:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -4.39%E -2.39%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -2.96%E -1.47%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.43%E -2.98%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.93%E -1.96%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.43%E -2.98%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.93%E -1.96%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.03%E -4.53%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.93%E -1.96%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.10%E -5.84%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.93%E -1.96%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -3.87%E -2.09%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.89%E -2.47%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.43%E -2.98%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.89%E -2.47%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.43%E -2.98%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.89%E -2.47%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.43%E -2.98%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.89%E -2.47%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -8.03%E -4.53%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -4.89%E -2.47%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -8.55%E -4.86%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -5.85%E -2.98%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.83%E -1.51%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.83%E -1.51%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.83%E -1.51%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 16:47 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.87%E -2.09%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.87%E -2.09%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.87%E -2.09%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.87%E -2.09%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.751%E -0.393%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.32%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.751%E -0.393%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.32%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.751%E -0.393%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.32%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.751%E -0.393%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.32%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.751%E -0.393%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.32%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.751%E -0.393%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.32%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.25%E -4.32%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.25%E -4.32%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -1.79%E -0.947%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -9.21%E -4.87%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -2.31%E -1.23%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -9.69%E -5.15%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -2.31%E -1.23%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -9.69%E -5.15%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -2.09%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.13%E -6.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -11.13%E -6.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -11.13%E -6.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -11.13%E -6.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -12.09%E -6.61%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31% | 2.6% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.50% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.90% | 12.4% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |