L’École des cotesŽalgiris v Fenerbahce SK
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Žalgiris (Local)
Prévision 51.96%1.92cote équitable
EV -0.751%
Avantage -0.393%
Kelly -0.825%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.91
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.98%52.00%54.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.831.831.9157.80%54.50%54.64%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Fenerbahce SK (Visiteur)
Prévision 48.04%2.08cote équitable
EV +0.878%
Avantage +0.418%
Kelly +0.798%
Croissance +0.007%
avec la cote maximale 2.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.60%48.02%48.00%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.941.952.1054.64%51.46%51.28%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -8.55%E -4.86%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV +0.878%E +0.418%K +0.798%G +0.007% | 4.4% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -4.39%E -2.39%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -2.96%E -1.47%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-08 16:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -4.39%E -2.39%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -2.96%E -1.47%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.43%E -2.98%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.93%E -1.96%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.43%E -2.98%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.93%E -1.96%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.03%E -4.53%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.93%E -1.96%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.10%E -5.84%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.93%E -1.96%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -3.87%E -2.09%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| ReBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.41%E -2.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.89%E -2.47%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.43%E -2.98%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.89%E -2.47%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.43%E -2.98%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.89%E -2.47%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.43%E -2.98%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.89%E -2.47%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -8.03%E -4.53%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -4.89%E -2.47%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -8.55%E -4.86%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -5.85%E -2.98%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.83%E -1.51%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.83%E -1.51%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Bovada | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.83%E -1.51%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 16:47 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.87%E -2.09%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.87%E -2.09%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.87%E -2.09%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.87%E -2.09%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| GTbets | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Everygame | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.33%E -3.24%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.751%E -0.393%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.32%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.751%E -0.393%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.32%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.751%E -0.393%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.32%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.751%E -0.393%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.32%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.751%E -0.393%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.32%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.751%E -0.393%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.32%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.25%E -4.32%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.25%E -4.32%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -1.79%E -0.947%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -9.21%E -4.87%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -2.31%E -1.23%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -9.69%E -5.15%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -2.31%E -1.23%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -9.69%E -5.15%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -2.09%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.13%E -6.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -11.13%E -6.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -11.13%E -6.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -6.47%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -11.13%E -6.02%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| BetUS | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.68%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -12.09%E -6.61%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 0.7% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31% | 2.6% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.50% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.90% | 12.4% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |