Language:English
Žalgiris v Fenerbahce SK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Žalgiris (Local)
Prediction 55.46%1.80fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -2.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.58%55.47%55.41%57.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.711.711.7760.24%58.48%58.48%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fenerbahce SK (Visit)
Prediction 44.54%2.25fair odd
EV +0.217%
Edge +0.096%
Kelly +0.173%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.89%44.53%44.59%46.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.122.122.2550.00%47.27%47.17%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Žalgiris (Local): 55.46%; Fenerbahce SK (Visit): 44.54%. For Fenerbahce SK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.245. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.250, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.217%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +0.217%E +0.096%K +0.173%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-06 16:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.01%E -0.914%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-06 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.01%E -0.914%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.01%E -0.914%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.01%E -0.914%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.01%E -0.914%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 16:58 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.68%E -2.19%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.68%E -2.19%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 16:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.68%E -2.19%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -5.13%E -2.41%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 16:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 16:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 16:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.83%E -4.06%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 16:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.15%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.85%EV -6.91%E -3.31%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 16:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -7.36%E -3.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.80%E -3.77%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -6.83%E -4.06%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.80%E -3.77%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 16:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -8.25%E -4.00%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 16:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.69%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 16:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.69%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.69%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -7.94%E -4.78%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -8.69%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -10.03%E -4.96%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.92%E -5.46%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-06 16:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.92%E -5.46%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-06 16:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.0% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.1% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36% | 1.5% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67% | 2.7% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16% | 2.9% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.25% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.06% | 12.7% | 2026-05-06 17:00 |