La scuola delle quote

Žalgiris v Fenerbahce SK

Inizio: 2026-05-06 17:05 UTC

Finale: Žalgiris 81–78 Fenerbahce SK

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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44 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Žalgiris (Casa)

Previsione 55.46%1.80quota equa
EV -1.84%
Vantaggio -1.04%
Kelly -2.39%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.58%55.47%55.41%57.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.661.711.711.7760.24%58.48%58.48%56.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fenerbahce SK (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.54%2.25quota equa
EV +0.217%
Vantaggio +0.096%
Kelly +0.173%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.89%44.53%44.59%46.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.122.122.2550.00%47.27%47.17%44.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +0.217%E +0.096%K +0.173%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-06 16:49
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.01%E -0.914%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 16:59
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.01%E -0.914%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 17:00
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.01%E -0.914%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 16:59
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.01%E -0.914%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.01%E -0.914%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 16:59
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 17:00
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 16:59
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 17:00
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 16:58
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.68%E -2.19%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 17:00
ReBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.68%E -2.19%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 16:59
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.68%E -2.19%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 17:00
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -5.13%E -2.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 17:00
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:00
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:00
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:00
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:00
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 17:00
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 17:00
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 17:00
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 16:59
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 16:59
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.83%E -4.06%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 17:00
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 17:00
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 16:59
William Hill1.77I 56.50%NM 54.15%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.85%EV -6.91%E -3.31%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 16:59
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -7.36%E -3.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 17:00
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.80%E -3.77%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 17:00
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -6.83%E -4.06%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.80%E -3.77%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 16:59
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -8.25%E -4.00%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 16:59
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.69%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 16:58
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.69%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 17:00
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.69%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -7.94%E -4.78%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -8.69%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 17:00
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -10.03%E -4.96%K -9.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.92%E -5.46%K -10.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-06 16:59
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.92%E -5.46%K -10.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-06 16:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-05-06 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-05-06 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-05-06 17:00
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%2.7%2026-05-06 17:00
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%2.9%2026-05-06 17:00

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.25%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.06%12.7%2026-05-06 17:00