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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Žalgiris v Fenerbahce SK

开赛时间： 2026-05-06 17:05 UTC

最终结果： Žalgiris 81–78 Fenerbahce SK

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

44 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Žalgiris (主队)

预测 55.46%1.80公平赔率
EV -1.84%
优势 -1.04%
Kelly -2.39%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.77

博彩公司预测分布
53.58%55.47%55.41%57.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.661.711.711.7760.24%58.48%58.48%56.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fenerbahce SK (客队)

预测 44.54%2.25公平赔率
EV +0.217%
优势 +0.096%
Kelly +0.173%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.25

博彩公司预测分布
42.89%44.53%44.59%46.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.122.122.2550.00%47.27%47.17%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Žalgiris (主队)：55.46%；Fenerbahce SK (客队)：44.54%。 对于“Fenerbahce SK (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.245。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.250，对应+0.217%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (44 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +0.217%E +0.096%K +0.173%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-06 16:49
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.01%E -0.914%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-06 16:59
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.01%E -0.914%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 17:00
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.01%E -0.914%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 16:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.01%E -0.914%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.01%E -0.914%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 16:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.90%E -1.33%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 16:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 17:00
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 16:58
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.68%E -2.19%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 17:00
ReBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.68%E -2.19%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 16:59
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.68%E -2.19%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 17:00
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -5.13%E -2.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 17:00
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:00
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.06%E -2.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 17:00
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.57%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.61%E -2.68%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 17:00
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 17:00
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 17:00
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 16:59
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 17:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.27%E -3.71%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 16:59
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.83%E -4.06%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 17:00
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 17:00
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.46%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 16:59
William Hill🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.15%EV -1.84%E -1.04%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.85%EV -6.91%E -3.31%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 16:59
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -7.36%E -3.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 17:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -7.80%E -3.77%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 17:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -6.83%E -4.06%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.80%E -3.77%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 16:59
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -3.50%E -2.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -8.25%E -4.00%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 16:59
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.69%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 16:58
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.69%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 17:00
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.69%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 17:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -7.94%E -4.78%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -8.69%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 17:00
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -2.95%E -1.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -10.03%E -4.96%K -9.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.92%E -5.46%K -10.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-06 16:59
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.72%E -3.36%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.92%E -5.46%K -10.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-06 16:59
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-05-06 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-05-06 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-05-06 17:00
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%2.7%2026-05-06 17:00
Matchbook◎1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%2.9%2026-05-06 17:00

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.25%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.06%12.7%2026-05-06 17:00