Language:English
Žalgiris v FC Barcelona Bàsquet
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Žalgiris (Local)
Prediction 61.78%1.62fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -5.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.53%61.76%61.73%62.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.531.531.5767.11%65.40%65.36%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Visit)
Prediction 38.22%2.62fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -0.686%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.19%38.24%38.27%39.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.482.502.5743.48%40.32%40.00%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Žalgiris (Local): 61.78%; FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Visit): 38.22%. For FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.57, with an expected value of -1.76%; they did not produce positive expected value.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.01%E -1.92%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-02 15:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.63%E -2.33%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.76%E -0.686%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-02 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.63%E -2.33%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.76%E -0.686%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-02 16:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.63%E -2.33%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-02 13:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.63%E -2.33%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-02 15:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.63%E -2.33%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-02 11:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.63%E -2.33%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-02 16:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.25%E -2.74%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-02 16:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.25%E -2.74%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-01 10:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.25%E -2.74%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 16:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -2.14%E -0.838%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-02 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-02 16:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -3.29%E -1.30%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-02 13:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.67%E -1.46%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 15:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-02 14:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-02 13:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-02 06:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.82%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 14:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 14:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 14:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 14:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 14:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 14:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 08:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.10%E -4.01%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.10%E -4.01%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 16:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.10%E -4.01%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-01 16:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.10%E -4.01%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.72%E -4.45%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.72%E -4.45%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 16:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.72%E -4.45%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.72%E -4.45%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.72%E -4.45%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 16:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.72%E -4.45%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 14:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.72%E -4.45%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 16:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.28%EV -6.72%E -4.45%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.72%EV -8.64%E -3.62%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-02 15:58 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.34%E -4.89%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 08:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.34%E -4.89%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.34%E -4.89%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-02 06:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -7.34%E -4.89%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-02 15:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -7.34%E -4.89%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-02 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -7.34%E -4.89%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-02 15:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -7.95%E -5.34%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-02 16:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-04-02 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-04-02 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 1.4% | 2026-04-02 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 2.6% | 2026-04-02 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 2.6% | 2026-04-02 16:55 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.86% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44% | 12.0% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |