L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Žalgiris v FC Barcelona Bàsquet
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Žalgiris (Local)
Prévision 61.78%1.62cote équitable
EV -3.01%
Avantage -1.92%
Kelly -5.29%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.57
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.53%61.76%61.73%62.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.491.531.531.5767.11%65.40%65.36%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Visiteur)
Prévision 38.22%2.62cote équitable
EV -1.76%
Avantage -0.686%
Kelly -1.12%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.57
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.19%38.24%38.27%39.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.482.502.5743.48%40.32%40.00%38.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.01%E -1.92%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-02 15:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.63%E -2.33%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.76%E -0.686%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-02 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.63%E -2.33%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.76%E -0.686%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-02 16:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.63%E -2.33%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-02 13:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.63%E -2.33%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-02 15:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.63%E -2.33%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-02 11:05 |
| BetUS | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.63%E -2.33%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-02 16:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.25%E -2.74%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-02 16:50 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.25%E -2.74%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-01 10:10 |
| GTbets | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.25%E -2.74%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-02 16:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -2.14%E -0.838%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-02 16:55 |
| Bovada | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-02 16:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -3.29%E -1.30%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-02 13:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.67%E -1.46%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 15:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-02 14:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-02 13:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-02 06:29 |
| ReBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.82%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 14:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 14:50 |
| Betsson | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 14:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 14:50 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 14:35 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 14:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 14:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 14:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 08:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.10%E -4.01%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 16:20 |
| Unibet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.10%E -4.01%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 16:20 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.10%E -4.01%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-01 16:44 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.10%E -4.01%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.72%E -4.45%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.72%E -4.45%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 16:24 |
| BetRivers | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.72%E -4.45%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.72%E -4.45%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 16:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.72%E -4.45%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 16:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.72%E -4.45%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 14:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.72%E -4.45%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 16:34 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.28%EV -6.72%E -4.45%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.72%EV -8.64%E -3.62%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-02 15:58 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.34%E -4.89%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 08:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.34%E -4.89%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.34%E -4.89%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-02 06:30 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -7.34%E -4.89%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-02 15:30 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -7.34%E -4.89%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-02 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -7.34%E -4.89%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-02 15:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -7.95%E -5.34%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-02 16:34 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-04-02 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-04-02 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 1.4% | 2026-04-02 16:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 2.6% | 2026-04-02 16:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 2.6% | 2026-04-02 16:55 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.86% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44% | 12.0% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |