La scuola delle quote

Žalgiris v FC Barcelona Bàsquet

Inizio: 2026-04-02 17:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

46 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Žalgiris (Casa)

Previsione 61.78%1.62quota equa
EV -3.01%
Vantaggio -1.92%
Kelly -5.29%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.53%61.76%61.73%62.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.491.531.531.5767.11%65.40%65.36%63.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Barcelona Bàsquet (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.22%2.62quota equa
EV -1.76%
Vantaggio -0.686%
Kelly -1.12%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.19%38.24%38.27%39.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.482.502.5743.48%40.32%40.00%38.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.01%E -1.92%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-02 15:15
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.63%E -2.33%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.76%E -0.686%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-02 16:25
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.63%E -2.33%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.76%E -0.686%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-02 16:25
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.63%E -2.33%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 13:10
BetMGM1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.63%E -2.33%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 15:30
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.63%E -2.33%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 11:05
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.63%E -2.33%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-02 16:20
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.25%E -2.74%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-02 16:50
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.25%E -2.74%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-01 10:10
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.25%E -2.74%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 16:24
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -2.14%E -0.838%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-02 16:55
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 16:49
Marathon Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -3.29%E -1.30%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-02 13:10
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.67%E -1.46%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 15:50
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 14:50
Coolbet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 13:15
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 06:29
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.82%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 14:50
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 14:50
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.87%E -3.16%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 14:50
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 14:50
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 14:35
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 16:50
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 14:34
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 14:34
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 14:49
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.48%E -3.58%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 08:29
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.10%E -4.01%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 16:20
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.10%E -4.01%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 16:20
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.10%E -4.01%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-01 16:44
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.10%E -4.01%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 16:50
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.72%E -4.45%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 16:20
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.72%E -4.45%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 16:24
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.72%E -4.45%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 16:20
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.72%E -4.45%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 16:20
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.72%E -4.45%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.53%E -0.991%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 16:20
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.72%E -4.45%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 14:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.72%E -4.45%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 16:34
MyBookie.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 61.28%EV -6.72%E -4.45%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.72%EV -8.64%E -3.62%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-02 15:58
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.34%E -4.89%K -14.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 08:29
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.34%E -4.89%K -14.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 16:20
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.34%E -4.89%K -14.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-02 06:30
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -7.34%E -4.89%K -14.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-02 15:30
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -7.34%E -4.89%K -14.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-02 15:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -7.34%E -4.89%K -14.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-02 15:30
PMU (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -7.95%E -5.34%K -16.23%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -5.20%E -2.10%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 16:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-04-02 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-04-02 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-04-02 16:50
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%2.6%2026-04-02 16:55
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%2.6%2026-04-02 16:55

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.86%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44%12.0%2026-04-01 00:05