Language:English
Žalgiris v Dubai Basketball
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Žalgiris (Local)
Prediction 71.63%1.40fair odd
EV +0.287%
Edge +0.205%
Kelly +0.716%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.31%71.54%71.58%73.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.331.331.4077.52%75.26%75.19%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dubai Basketball (Visit)
Prediction 28.37%3.53fair odd
EV -0.716%
Edge -0.205%
Kelly -0.287%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.93%28.46%28.42%32.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.293.303.5035.71%30.42%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Žalgiris (Local): 71.63%; Dubai Basketball (Visit): 28.37%. For Žalgiris (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.396. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.400, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.287%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.03%EV +0.287%E +0.205%K +0.716%G +0.002% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.97%EV -11.50%E -3.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-07 13:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +0.287%E +0.205%K +0.716%G +0.002% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -14.90%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 16:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.58%E -1.90%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 18:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -2.58%E -1.90%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -20.57%E -7.35%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -2.58%E -1.90%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -20.57%E -7.35%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 14:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -2.58%E -1.90%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -20.57%E -7.35%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 14:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -3.30%E -2.44%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 12:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -3.30%E -2.44%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 12:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.30%E -2.44%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-07 07:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.30%E -2.44%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 16:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.89%EV -3.30%E -2.44%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.11%EV -15.18%E -5.08%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 16:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.85%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.15%EV -2.99%E -0.873%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 16:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.71%EV -10.08%E -3.18%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 16:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -4.73%E -3.55%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV -2.99%E -0.873%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-07 16:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.73%E -3.55%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 16:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.73%E -3.55%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 16:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.73%E -3.55%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 16:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.73%E -3.55%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 16:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.73%E -3.55%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 16:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.73%E -3.55%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 16:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.73%E -3.55%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 16:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.73%E -3.55%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 16:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.73%E -3.55%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 16:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.73%E -3.55%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.64%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 16:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.13%E -0.619%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -2.99%E -0.873%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 16:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 16:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 16:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 16:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.16%E -4.70%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-07 16:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.16%E -4.70%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.69%EV -6.16%E -4.70%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.31%EV -10.36%E -3.28%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 16:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.88%E -5.29%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.716%E -0.205%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 16:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.88%E -5.29%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.716%E -0.205%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.88%E -5.29%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.716%E -0.205%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.88%E -5.29%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.716%E -0.205%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.88%E -5.29%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-07 16:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.88%E -5.29%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-07 16:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.59%E -5.89%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.716%E -0.205%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.59%E -5.89%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.59%E -5.89%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -7.59%E -5.89%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 3.1% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.73% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.23% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.04% | 10.4% | 2026-04-07 16:19 |