语言:简体中文
Žalgiris v Dubai Basketball
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Žalgiris (主队)
预测 71.63%1.40公平赔率
EV +0.287%
优势 +0.205%
Kelly +0.716%
增长率 +0.002%
假设最高赔率为 1.40
博彩公司预测分布
67.31%71.54%71.58%73.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.291.331.331.4077.52%75.26%75.19%71.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
Dubai Basketball (客队)
预测 28.37%3.53公平赔率
EV -0.716%
优势 -0.205%
Kelly -0.287%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.50
博彩公司预测分布
26.93%28.46%28.42%32.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.293.303.5035.71%30.42%30.30%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Žalgiris (主队)：71.63%；Dubai Basketball (客队)：28.37%。 对于“Žalgiris (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.396。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.400，对应+0.287%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.03%EV +0.287%E +0.205%K +0.716%G +0.002% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.97%EV -11.50%E -3.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-07 13:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +0.287%E +0.205%K +0.716%G +0.002% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -14.90%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 16:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.58%E -1.90%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 18:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -2.58%E -1.90%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -20.57%E -7.35%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -2.58%E -1.90%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -20.57%E -7.35%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 14:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -2.58%E -1.90%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -20.57%E -7.35%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 14:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -3.30%E -2.44%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 12:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -3.30%E -2.44%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 12:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.30%E -2.44%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-07 07:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.30%E -2.44%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 16:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.89%EV -3.30%E -2.44%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.11%EV -15.18%E -5.08%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 16:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.85%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.15%EV -2.99%E -0.873%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 16:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.71%EV -10.08%E -3.18%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 16:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -4.73%E -3.55%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV -2.99%E -0.873%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-07 16:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.73%E -3.55%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 16:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.73%E -3.55%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 16:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.73%E -3.55%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 16:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.73%E -3.55%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 16:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.73%E -3.55%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 16:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.73%E -3.55%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 16:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.73%E -3.55%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 16:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.73%E -3.55%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 16:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.73%E -3.55%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 16:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.73%E -3.55%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.64%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 16:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.13%E -0.619%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -2.99%E -0.873%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 16:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 16:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 16:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 16:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.16%E -4.70%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-07 16:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.16%E -4.70%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.69%EV -6.16%E -4.70%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.31%EV -10.36%E -3.28%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 16:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.88%E -5.29%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.716%E -0.205%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 16:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.88%E -5.29%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.716%E -0.205%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.88%E -5.29%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.716%E -0.205%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.88%E -5.29%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.716%E -0.205%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.88%E -5.29%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-07 16:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.88%E -5.29%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-07 16:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.59%E -5.89%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.716%E -0.205%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.59%E -5.89%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.59%E -5.89%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -7.59%E -5.89%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 3.1% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.73% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.23% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.04% | 10.4% | 2026-04-07 16:19 |