La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.03%EV +0.287%E +0.205%K +0.716%G +0.002% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.97%EV -11.50%E -3.68%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-07 13:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +0.287%E +0.205%K +0.716%G +0.002% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -14.90%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 16:14 |
| Betway | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.58%E -1.90%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 18:50 |
| Coral | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -2.58%E -1.90%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -20.57%E -7.35%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -2.58%E -1.90%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -20.57%E -7.35%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 14:24 |
| Neds | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -2.58%E -1.90%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -20.57%E -7.35%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 14:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -3.30%E -2.44%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 12:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -3.30%E -2.44%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 12:40 |
| William Hill | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.30%E -2.44%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-07 07:20 |
| Bovada | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.30%E -2.44%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 16:34 |
| BetUS | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.89%EV -3.30%E -2.44%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.11%EV -15.18%E -5.08%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 16:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.85%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.15%EV -2.99%E -0.873%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.97%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 16:14 |
| Coolbet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| GTbets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.71%EV -10.08%E -3.18%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| TAB | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -12.06%E -3.89%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 16:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -4.73%E -3.55%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV -2.99%E -0.873%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-07 16:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.73%E -3.55%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 16:54 |
| Unibet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.73%E -3.55%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 16:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.73%E -3.55%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 16:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.73%E -3.55%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 16:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.73%E -3.55%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 16:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.73%E -3.55%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 16:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.73%E -3.55%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 16:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.73%E -3.55%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 16:19 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.73%E -3.55%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 16:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.73%E -3.55%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.64%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 16:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.13%E -0.619%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| ReBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -2.99%E -0.873%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 16:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 16:54 |
| Betsson | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 16:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.44%E -4.12%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 16:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.16%E -4.70%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-07 16:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.16%E -4.70%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.39%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.69%EV -6.16%E -4.70%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.31%EV -10.36%E -3.28%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 16:29 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.88%E -5.29%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.716%E -0.205%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 16:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.88%E -5.29%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.716%E -0.205%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.88%E -5.29%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.716%E -0.205%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.88%E -5.29%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.716%E -0.205%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.88%E -5.29%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-07 16:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.88%E -5.29%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-07 16:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.59%E -5.89%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.716%E -0.205%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.59%E -5.89%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -3.55%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -7.59%E -5.89%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -7.59%E -5.89%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -9.23%E -2.88%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 3.1% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.73% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.23% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.04% | 10.4% | 2026-04-07 16:19 |